Here's the schedule (assume all matches will be shown on VS, TSN, or CBC): http://sports.yahoo.com/nhl/blog/puck_daddy/post/Tell-all-casual-fans-you-know-that-Caps-vs-Peng;_ylt=Ag21Vz4YFESm_ydxJuJlVZR7vLYF?urn=nhl,159740
Eastern Conference:
(1) Boston Bruins vs (6) Carolina Hurricanes:
Which is worse, upsetting the President's trophy winner to move on to face the defending Cup champions, or winning in the toughest 7 game series this year only to face the Boston Bruins? The answer is debateable, but the Hurricanes will take part in answering the second half of that question. Carolina played a sensational game and Cam Ward was clutch in the series, and although on paper the New Jersey Devils are as talented as the Boston Bruins, can the Hurricanes really pull off another 7 game upset? I'm saying no, as the Bruins absolutely destroyed the Montreal Canadiens, not showing any weaknesses nor giving up any leads after the second period. Boston wins in 6.
(2) Washington Capitals vs (4) Pittsburgh Penguins
The NHL would like you to think this is the monster match-up of the semifinals this year, as Alexander Ovechkin will be pitted against Sidney Crosby. But to be honest, this is a very one-sided battle. On paper, it is almost dead even. The Capitals scored 17 goals through 7 games while the Penguins scored 18 goals in 6. Fleury had a GAA of 2.39 with a save percentage of .922, while Varlamov stepped in for Theodore for 5 games and became a wall, with a GAA of 1.21 and a save percentage of .954. The biggest differential was the +/-, as the Capitals were +24 compared to Pittsburgh's +8. But I think that tells the bigger story: the Capitals were facing an extremely offensively-challenged team. The New York Rangers are better known for their shutdown play and Henrik Lundqvist than scoring a lot of goals. Getting a team combined +24 off 17 goals means that the Rangers really weren't scoring a lot. Could that be Varlamov establishing himself as the next great rookie goaltender in the postseason? Maybe. But I put more of the fault on the Rangers, and Sidney Crosby and Evgeni Malkin, who had 4 goals each in the first round, are going to make life very tough in the next two weeks for Varlamov. Pittsburgh wins in 6.
Western Conference:
(2) Detroit Red Wings vs (8) Anaheim Ducks
Going into the Western Conference Quarterfinals, the question was who was the team to fear, San Jose or Detroit? Well, Anaheim proved it to be Detroit, and now they'll have to beat the Red Wings to continue their quest to the Stanley Cup. That's what happens when you have a horrid start to a pretty strong season, but Anaheim knows that they have the ability to upset the powerhouses in the playoffs. Although Todd McLellon was brought to San Jose to impliment the Detroit style of play, the two clubs actually play a different system. Detroit plays strong defensively and creates turnovers and penalties to score their goals, while San Jose likes to push the pace and open up the game. This could be a tough, grinding series for both teams, but I think the Western Conference will now get their version of the Boston/Montreal series: brutal in each game but ultimately a quick finish. Detroit in 5.
(3) Vancouver Canucks vs (4) Chicago Blackhawks
Despite Washington and Pittsburgh squaring off, this match-up is the monster match-up of the semifinals throughout the Stanley Cup playoffs. Khabibulin, the world gold-medalist, against Canada's finest Roberto Luongo. The Sedin twins and Alex Burrows against Toews, Kane, and Havlat. Vancouver generates most of their goals outside of the Sedin cycle from monster shots from the point by Salo and Edler. Chicago plays a more active defenseman-in-offense system, backed by Brian Campbell. By all means, this series should go to a game 7, have about 10 periods worth of overtimes, and the team with the most healthy starters end up winning. Instead, I'm looking at one factor that will cripple the Chicago Blackhawks in their run: youth. Although Vancouver never really had much success in the postseason, they still have a lot more playoff experience than the fresh-out-of-rebuilding Chicago Blackhawks. And ultimately, when they're facing a better goaltender, a healthier team, and a hungrier team, their lack of experience will come back and bite them. Vancouver in 6.
Tuesday, April 28, 2009
Day 14 Round 1 NHL Playoffs 2009
Last day of the first round of the NHL playoffs, two Eastern Conference game 7's. So much excitement in this day that I'm sure most hockey fans are actually glad they have Wednesday off of watching hockey.
New Jersey Devils vs Carolina Hurricanes: Carolina wins 4-3 (Carolina wins series 4-3)
The most exciting game up to this point. Talk about a game that defined a series. No team led by more than a goal. With a minute and a half left in the third period, and New Jersey holding a 3-2 lead, the Devils thought they had it in the books, when Carolina scored two goals in under a minute to put themselves up 4-3 against Martin Brodeur. And no, the 4th goal was not an empty netter. Absolutely stunning upset, as the best active goaltender in the NHL let in two identical soft goals from the top of the left faceoff circle underneath his right arm. And now I'm looking like the smartest hockey guy in the world. Next up for Carolina: the Boston Bruins.
Washington Capitals vs New York Rangers: Washington wins 2-1 (Washington wins series 4-3)
Alexander Semin got the flukiest goal in playoff history, and Sergei Federov stole the glory from Alexander the Great on a 2 on 2 rush, and in the end the Capitals come back from a 1-3 series deficit to defeat the Rangers in game 7. Varlamov was the MVP of the series, but the big question is will he be in net next series? Washington's faithful will all probably be quick to say yes, and so will Varlamov's teammates, but look ahead at their next opponent and realize the seriousness of the question: the Capitals move on to face the Pittsburgh Penguins in the Eastern Conference Semifinals. Jose Theodore might have made the Rangers look good offensively, but coming into the playoffs New York probably had the weakest offensive roster in the Eastern Conference, if not the entire league. And now the youngster is supposedly going to be pitted against Crosby, Malkin, Guerin, Gonchar, and another Staal brother. Rankings say a Penguin win will be an upset, but based on the talent level, should it really be one?
Predictions of the conference semifinals coming in the next post. In terms of guessing the team that wins, I went 6 for 8 in the first round. Number of games, a horrid 3 of 8. A combination of both had two accurate predictions: Pittsburgh in 6 and Carolina in 7.
New Jersey Devils vs Carolina Hurricanes: Carolina wins 4-3 (Carolina wins series 4-3)
The most exciting game up to this point. Talk about a game that defined a series. No team led by more than a goal. With a minute and a half left in the third period, and New Jersey holding a 3-2 lead, the Devils thought they had it in the books, when Carolina scored two goals in under a minute to put themselves up 4-3 against Martin Brodeur. And no, the 4th goal was not an empty netter. Absolutely stunning upset, as the best active goaltender in the NHL let in two identical soft goals from the top of the left faceoff circle underneath his right arm. And now I'm looking like the smartest hockey guy in the world. Next up for Carolina: the Boston Bruins.
Washington Capitals vs New York Rangers: Washington wins 2-1 (Washington wins series 4-3)
Alexander Semin got the flukiest goal in playoff history, and Sergei Federov stole the glory from Alexander the Great on a 2 on 2 rush, and in the end the Capitals come back from a 1-3 series deficit to defeat the Rangers in game 7. Varlamov was the MVP of the series, but the big question is will he be in net next series? Washington's faithful will all probably be quick to say yes, and so will Varlamov's teammates, but look ahead at their next opponent and realize the seriousness of the question: the Capitals move on to face the Pittsburgh Penguins in the Eastern Conference Semifinals. Jose Theodore might have made the Rangers look good offensively, but coming into the playoffs New York probably had the weakest offensive roster in the Eastern Conference, if not the entire league. And now the youngster is supposedly going to be pitted against Crosby, Malkin, Guerin, Gonchar, and another Staal brother. Rankings say a Penguin win will be an upset, but based on the talent level, should it really be one?
Predictions of the conference semifinals coming in the next post. In terms of guessing the team that wins, I went 6 for 8 in the first round. Number of games, a horrid 3 of 8. A combination of both had two accurate predictions: Pittsburgh in 6 and Carolina in 7.
Monday, April 27, 2009
Day 13 Round 1 NHL Playoffs 2009
Two games, two teams in the Western Conference being eliminated in game 6.
Chicago Blackhawks vs Calgary Flames: Chicago wins 4-1 (Chicago wins series 4-2)
The Blackhawks won for the first time on the road this postseason, and what a time it was as they eliminated the Calgary Flames, who have now lost in the first round for the past four years in a row. Chicago, on the other hand, won its first playoff series since 1996. The young Blackhawks will have their work cut out for them, as they have the Vancouver Canucks and Roberto Luongo waiting for them. The signs point to another close series, probably one that should've occured between Calgary and Chicago. But for now, Toews and Kane can relax and celebrate a hard-earned victory, while everyone else wonders what the point of bringing Jokinen to Calgary was.
San Jose Sharks vs Anaheim Ducks: Anaheim wins 4-1 (Anaheim wins series 4-2)
The Ducks pulled it off, upsetting the top-seeded team in the NHL playoffs in 6 games. And as a reward, they get to face the defending champion Detroit Red Wings. Still, you have to like the Ducks's odds, at least to be able to take it to a game 7 against the Wings. Jonas Hiller is so far the best goaltender in the playoffs (maybe slightly behind Tim Thomas), and the Getzlaf line is one of the deadliest in the league. And the Ducks probably have the best defensive roster as well. With all that said and the fact that they've already eliminated one powerhouse in the Western Conference, don't think the Ducks will be intimidated moving forward. As for the Sharks, it's another disappointing end and another season of wondering what else they need to add to try and get over that hump.
I'm at least grateful for one thing: I can shave for the first time in two weeks. With that said, Detroit should still blowout Anaheim, because that team will definantly not come out flat in the first two home games. I really don't know who has the upper edge in terms of Vancouver vs Chicago. Vancouver has the better goaltending and defense, but Chicago has a better offensive system (helped greatly by their youth), and the special teams are dead even. Yet, I get the feeling one of the teams will dominate the other.
Chicago Blackhawks vs Calgary Flames: Chicago wins 4-1 (Chicago wins series 4-2)
The Blackhawks won for the first time on the road this postseason, and what a time it was as they eliminated the Calgary Flames, who have now lost in the first round for the past four years in a row. Chicago, on the other hand, won its first playoff series since 1996. The young Blackhawks will have their work cut out for them, as they have the Vancouver Canucks and Roberto Luongo waiting for them. The signs point to another close series, probably one that should've occured between Calgary and Chicago. But for now, Toews and Kane can relax and celebrate a hard-earned victory, while everyone else wonders what the point of bringing Jokinen to Calgary was.
San Jose Sharks vs Anaheim Ducks: Anaheim wins 4-1 (Anaheim wins series 4-2)
The Ducks pulled it off, upsetting the top-seeded team in the NHL playoffs in 6 games. And as a reward, they get to face the defending champion Detroit Red Wings. Still, you have to like the Ducks's odds, at least to be able to take it to a game 7 against the Wings. Jonas Hiller is so far the best goaltender in the playoffs (maybe slightly behind Tim Thomas), and the Getzlaf line is one of the deadliest in the league. And the Ducks probably have the best defensive roster as well. With all that said and the fact that they've already eliminated one powerhouse in the Western Conference, don't think the Ducks will be intimidated moving forward. As for the Sharks, it's another disappointing end and another season of wondering what else they need to add to try and get over that hump.
I'm at least grateful for one thing: I can shave for the first time in two weeks. With that said, Detroit should still blowout Anaheim, because that team will definantly not come out flat in the first two home games. I really don't know who has the upper edge in terms of Vancouver vs Chicago. Vancouver has the better goaltending and defense, but Chicago has a better offensive system (helped greatly by their youth), and the special teams are dead even. Yet, I get the feeling one of the teams will dominate the other.
Analysis of the San Jose Sharks's 2008-2009 Season
Well the first word that comes to mind is disappointment. Not many teams that win the President's Trophy would associate the same season with that word, but San Jose obviously will. They say hindsight is 20/20, and it seems that the Sharks had forgotten about the fact that the huge changes made in the past offseason were not about acquiring the most points in the regular season, or maintaining the most dominant home record in the NHL since the end of last season. No, the Sharks were about one thing: the postseason, and the Ducks gave them a rude wake-up call. It seems that everyone in San Jose (except for Doug Wilson) forgot about the fact that it wouldn't have mattered if the Sharks were the #1 seed by 50 points or the #8 seed by a tie-breaker; the only measure of success would be hoisting a Stanley Cup. The changes and tough decisions were made by the general manager, and instead the heavily-favored San Jose Sharks took a giant step backwards after being eliminated by the 8th seeded Anaheim Ducks in the first round.
Now, first of all, give credit to the Ducks. Jonas Hiller was an absolute beast in net, even in the 2 losses. Although the Ducks were heavily criticized for being a one-line team, that one line of Getzlaf, Perry, and Ryan absolutely took control of the game every second they were on the ice. And everyone knew coming into the game, it would be a battle of the defenseman: Blake, Boyle, Vlasic, and Lukowich against the championship core of Pronger, Whitney, Niedermayer, and Beauchemin. And you can't give enough credit to the third and fourth line of the Ducks (particularly Todd Marchant), who absolutely shut down the offensive depth of the Sharks, as they were put out against every virtually every single combination of forwards the Sharks had to offer in the six game series. Yes, the Ducks probably shouldn't have been an 8th seed with their skill set and end of the season. In fact, if they hadn't started Giguere in the first half of the season, they probably would've been ahead of St. Louis and Columbus, maybe even above Calgary and Chicago.
But regardless of all that, it was still a series that the Sharks had to lose. And that is exactly what they did. If someone had absolutely no interest in California hockey and just wanted a 20 minute recap of the series, they would just have to watch the third period of game 6. Absolutely no effort by the Sharks, oustanding defensive work in the neutral zone by the Ducks, and the two factors combined for a series-clinching goal by Ryan Getzlaf. In the final ten minutes alone, Anaheim beat out two icing calls. Plain and simple, the Sharks didn't put in the work to win the series.
Tomorrow, everyone in the hockey world will point to the very obvious failures of the Sharks: Thornton, Marleau, and Boyle didn't put up the offensive numbers. Evgeni Nabokov didn't even show a hint of his playoff brilliance that extended the Dallas series last year to 6 games and a quadruple overtime finish. The power play numbers were horrendous, the penalty kill (which carried the Sharks to the President's Trophy) disappeared, and every other aspect of the game was either horribly inconsistant or just plain sucked.
But let's think outside the box for a minute. Because the Sharks weren't total failures, at least not statistically. After the disappointing 0-2 start where they were 0-12 on the power play, the Sharks went 4-13. 4 isn't a terribly high number, but that's about a 30% conversion rate, which would've given you the top ranked power play in any regular season as far as I can remember. In every game, San Jose outshot Anaheim and put at least 30 shots on goal. Anaheim had the most allowed shots on goal (both total and on average) of any team in the playoffs thus far. And by looking at these statistics, you'd think the Sharks played right into Todd McLellon's system, a system that got them 117 regular season points, a President's Trophy, and about 20 franchise records and/or firsts. Yet it is this exact system that was the downfall of the Sharks. Yes, the puck possession system that won Detroit their championship last year in convincing fashion, and the system that got McLellon hired in place of the defensive-minded Ron Wilson.
How the system failed is very obvious, and became extremely obvious about midway through the season, when teams started to strategize around it: when a team who can play strong neutral zone defense out-possesses the puck in a game, odds are you will lose. San Jose had trouble winning faceoffs and getting past their own blue line throughout the first round series against the Ducks. Flash back to January, when San Jose's red hot start that had them leading the Western Conference by almost double-digits at one point, started to cool down and those 7-0 blowouts were reduced to 2-1 overtime nail-biters. Every team circled the Sharks on their calander after the All-Star break, and completely threw away their normal defensive scheme to stack five skaters in the neutral zone and on their blue line to stop the San Jose rush that generated them 257 goals in the regular season, a 34 goal improvement from 2007-2008. Look at the tape against the Anaheim Ducks, and you'll see the exact same defensive scheme. People will say that the Sharks couldn't work around that defense in the series because they didn't hustle or win the loose puck battles, or even win faceoffs in the offensive zone. But at some point, you would think a team would make some sort of modification to a system that is being strategized against.
Here is where the Sharks community will exile me: I truly believe that Ron Wilson should have stayed in San Jose. Last year, after my roommate (who shall remain unnamed) and I sat on the couch for 6 hours watching the Sharks eventually be eliminated by the Stars, he came up to me and said that Ron Wilson had to leave this year. I retaliated, saying the problems were obviously within the roster, and acquiring more skill on the blue-line would give Wilson the tools he need to finally make it to the finals. My roommate declared Wilson would be fired, the Sharks would win the Cup, and he would laugh at my face. At least he was right about one thing. Now, I'm not saying that Todd McLellon was not a good coach, and that all the blame is on him. But the city shouldn't have run Wilson out. Wilson's system was a much more playoff-suited style, and even having him as an assistant coach would have worked wonders in this series. Of course, I'm not just spewing this claim out of nowhere. One of the most glaring problems with the Sharks throughout the season (at least after January) was turnovers, defensive work, and goaltending. Let's take a look at some statistics, shall we?
Turnovers:
I am way too lazy and upset to look through complete game statistics, but let's just take two games from the Anaheim series this year and two games from the Dallas series last year. Both were pretty much 6 game blowouts that San Jose had no realistic chance of winning after the first two games were played. Both were considered major upsets of a Stanley Cup favorite being ousted out of the postseason by huge underdogs. First, in game 3 of the 2008 postseason when Dallas won 2-1 in overtime to take a 3-0 series lead: Dallas giveaways - 24, San Jose giveaways - 12. In game 1, giveaways were tied 8 for both teams. Let's take a gander at two games in this year's choke. Game 2, where San Jose lost 2-3: Anaheim giveaways - 12, San Jose giveaways - 21. Game 5, the 3-2 overtime win for San Jose: Anaheim giveaways - 14, San Jose giveaways - 18. The point isn't that the numbers are directly correlated with wins and losses. The point is that it is fairly obvious a change in the system led to an increase in turnovers, particularly in the defensive zone. And I'm not even going to try and begin finding regular season turnover totals.
Defense:
This can be explained very simply: Goals allowed in 2006-2007 compared to goals allowed in 2008-2009. The reason why I choose not to show goals allowed in 2007-2008 is because it was when Nabokov was a Vezina finalist. It still had less goals allowed than the 08-09 season, I just don't want people using that as an explanation. Goals allowed in 06-07: 199, tied for third fewest in the NHL behind Dallas and Minnesota (of course). Goals allowed in 08-09: 204. Still third fewest in a season that had only one team under the 200 GA mark. Not that big of a difference, right? But every year that Ron Wilson has coached the Sharks, except for 2005-2006, the goals allowed were under 200. But the most glaring defensive statistic in the series? Rob Blake and Marc-Edouard Vlasic, who were never broken up throughout the regular season as the #1 defensive pair, were tied for fourth on the team in plus-minus rating with a +15 (the top line of Thornton, Marleau, and Setoguchi took the top 3 spots tied at +16). In the series, Blake and Vlasic were a -5 and -6 respectively, the two lowest on the team.
Goaltending:
First and foremost, a lot of the blame can be placed soley on Evgeni Nabokov, who, for whatever reason, forgot how to cover his 5-hole. But can one technical error really account for huge jumps in statistical numbers?
Numbers in order for Evgeni Nabokov: GAA, Save %, postseason GAA, postseason Save %
2008-2009: 2.44, .910, 2.82, .890
2007-2008: 2.14, .910, 2.18, .908
2006-2007: 2.29, .914, 2.23, .920
The thing to note is the GAA, both in the postseason and the regular season. Almost half a goal more one year removed from being a Vezina trophy finalist.
Now, with all that said, do I want Todd McLellon out? Do I blame him for this step backwards? No. Last year I was adamant that Ron Wilson should not be fired, and two weeks later he was shown the door. If there is one thing Bay Area sports has shown, it is that championships are not won from one year's worth of changes. Things take time to develop and settle in, and the subtle fixes are the cornerstones of going from an early exit in the playoffs to making a run in the finals. In fact, outside of the Boston Celtics, most teams that try to make the huge change to push them over the top end up suffering drastically for it. Oakland Raiders anyone? Ron Wilson obviously did not deserve to be head coach, but I would imagine had he stayed within the San Jose system, a lot of the previously mentioned numbers would be a lot better. Ron Wilson was a defensive-minded coach, which got him a lot of criticism and blame for the offensive disappearance of his superstars in the postseason. But bring in an offensively-oriented Red Wings ex-coach and look what happened. In fact, I think the offensive numbers are worse.
A quick change is the worst direction GM Doug Wilson can take this franchise. Todd McLellon is a rookie coach, and about 25% of the team were not on the roster last year. Retirement questions are going to come up for Jeremy Roenick and Rob Blake. Roenick is more likely to retire, but that guy loves being in the locker room and is the hungriest player in the league for a Stanley Cup. Rob Blake still has a good year or two left in him, so he should stay. Dan Boyle being treated like Brian Campbell would be the biggest mistake possible this summer. If anyone wants to scream at Joe Thornton and Patrick Marleau: coming into the postseason, Thornton averaged better than a point a game. In fact, this year is probably the first postseason he's actually "choked". Marleau is the captain, he revitalized his career, and he scored the game winning goals in both wins. Salary cap may demand a move or two, but keep in mind that Torrey Mitchell was gone the entire regular season, and we still have Kyle McLaren. A change in style and system would be horrible, and if anything, another year practicing with the same guys and the same coach would probably show a great improvement (yes, even though we broke all sorts of records this regular season) next year over this one. Thus, I'm looking forward to seeing most, if not all, of the Sharks return for another run at the Cup next year, and hopefully McLellon and his staff learn how to teach some defense.
If you want a model of everything that I said shouldn't happen, read this article.
Now, first of all, give credit to the Ducks. Jonas Hiller was an absolute beast in net, even in the 2 losses. Although the Ducks were heavily criticized for being a one-line team, that one line of Getzlaf, Perry, and Ryan absolutely took control of the game every second they were on the ice. And everyone knew coming into the game, it would be a battle of the defenseman: Blake, Boyle, Vlasic, and Lukowich against the championship core of Pronger, Whitney, Niedermayer, and Beauchemin. And you can't give enough credit to the third and fourth line of the Ducks (particularly Todd Marchant), who absolutely shut down the offensive depth of the Sharks, as they were put out against every virtually every single combination of forwards the Sharks had to offer in the six game series. Yes, the Ducks probably shouldn't have been an 8th seed with their skill set and end of the season. In fact, if they hadn't started Giguere in the first half of the season, they probably would've been ahead of St. Louis and Columbus, maybe even above Calgary and Chicago.
But regardless of all that, it was still a series that the Sharks had to lose. And that is exactly what they did. If someone had absolutely no interest in California hockey and just wanted a 20 minute recap of the series, they would just have to watch the third period of game 6. Absolutely no effort by the Sharks, oustanding defensive work in the neutral zone by the Ducks, and the two factors combined for a series-clinching goal by Ryan Getzlaf. In the final ten minutes alone, Anaheim beat out two icing calls. Plain and simple, the Sharks didn't put in the work to win the series.
Tomorrow, everyone in the hockey world will point to the very obvious failures of the Sharks: Thornton, Marleau, and Boyle didn't put up the offensive numbers. Evgeni Nabokov didn't even show a hint of his playoff brilliance that extended the Dallas series last year to 6 games and a quadruple overtime finish. The power play numbers were horrendous, the penalty kill (which carried the Sharks to the President's Trophy) disappeared, and every other aspect of the game was either horribly inconsistant or just plain sucked.
But let's think outside the box for a minute. Because the Sharks weren't total failures, at least not statistically. After the disappointing 0-2 start where they were 0-12 on the power play, the Sharks went 4-13. 4 isn't a terribly high number, but that's about a 30% conversion rate, which would've given you the top ranked power play in any regular season as far as I can remember. In every game, San Jose outshot Anaheim and put at least 30 shots on goal. Anaheim had the most allowed shots on goal (both total and on average) of any team in the playoffs thus far. And by looking at these statistics, you'd think the Sharks played right into Todd McLellon's system, a system that got them 117 regular season points, a President's Trophy, and about 20 franchise records and/or firsts. Yet it is this exact system that was the downfall of the Sharks. Yes, the puck possession system that won Detroit their championship last year in convincing fashion, and the system that got McLellon hired in place of the defensive-minded Ron Wilson.
How the system failed is very obvious, and became extremely obvious about midway through the season, when teams started to strategize around it: when a team who can play strong neutral zone defense out-possesses the puck in a game, odds are you will lose. San Jose had trouble winning faceoffs and getting past their own blue line throughout the first round series against the Ducks. Flash back to January, when San Jose's red hot start that had them leading the Western Conference by almost double-digits at one point, started to cool down and those 7-0 blowouts were reduced to 2-1 overtime nail-biters. Every team circled the Sharks on their calander after the All-Star break, and completely threw away their normal defensive scheme to stack five skaters in the neutral zone and on their blue line to stop the San Jose rush that generated them 257 goals in the regular season, a 34 goal improvement from 2007-2008. Look at the tape against the Anaheim Ducks, and you'll see the exact same defensive scheme. People will say that the Sharks couldn't work around that defense in the series because they didn't hustle or win the loose puck battles, or even win faceoffs in the offensive zone. But at some point, you would think a team would make some sort of modification to a system that is being strategized against.
Here is where the Sharks community will exile me: I truly believe that Ron Wilson should have stayed in San Jose. Last year, after my roommate (who shall remain unnamed) and I sat on the couch for 6 hours watching the Sharks eventually be eliminated by the Stars, he came up to me and said that Ron Wilson had to leave this year. I retaliated, saying the problems were obviously within the roster, and acquiring more skill on the blue-line would give Wilson the tools he need to finally make it to the finals. My roommate declared Wilson would be fired, the Sharks would win the Cup, and he would laugh at my face. At least he was right about one thing. Now, I'm not saying that Todd McLellon was not a good coach, and that all the blame is on him. But the city shouldn't have run Wilson out. Wilson's system was a much more playoff-suited style, and even having him as an assistant coach would have worked wonders in this series. Of course, I'm not just spewing this claim out of nowhere. One of the most glaring problems with the Sharks throughout the season (at least after January) was turnovers, defensive work, and goaltending. Let's take a look at some statistics, shall we?
Turnovers:
I am way too lazy and upset to look through complete game statistics, but let's just take two games from the Anaheim series this year and two games from the Dallas series last year. Both were pretty much 6 game blowouts that San Jose had no realistic chance of winning after the first two games were played. Both were considered major upsets of a Stanley Cup favorite being ousted out of the postseason by huge underdogs. First, in game 3 of the 2008 postseason when Dallas won 2-1 in overtime to take a 3-0 series lead: Dallas giveaways - 24, San Jose giveaways - 12. In game 1, giveaways were tied 8 for both teams. Let's take a gander at two games in this year's choke. Game 2, where San Jose lost 2-3: Anaheim giveaways - 12, San Jose giveaways - 21. Game 5, the 3-2 overtime win for San Jose: Anaheim giveaways - 14, San Jose giveaways - 18. The point isn't that the numbers are directly correlated with wins and losses. The point is that it is fairly obvious a change in the system led to an increase in turnovers, particularly in the defensive zone. And I'm not even going to try and begin finding regular season turnover totals.
Defense:
This can be explained very simply: Goals allowed in 2006-2007 compared to goals allowed in 2008-2009. The reason why I choose not to show goals allowed in 2007-2008 is because it was when Nabokov was a Vezina finalist. It still had less goals allowed than the 08-09 season, I just don't want people using that as an explanation. Goals allowed in 06-07: 199, tied for third fewest in the NHL behind Dallas and Minnesota (of course). Goals allowed in 08-09: 204. Still third fewest in a season that had only one team under the 200 GA mark. Not that big of a difference, right? But every year that Ron Wilson has coached the Sharks, except for 2005-2006, the goals allowed were under 200. But the most glaring defensive statistic in the series? Rob Blake and Marc-Edouard Vlasic, who were never broken up throughout the regular season as the #1 defensive pair, were tied for fourth on the team in plus-minus rating with a +15 (the top line of Thornton, Marleau, and Setoguchi took the top 3 spots tied at +16). In the series, Blake and Vlasic were a -5 and -6 respectively, the two lowest on the team.
Goaltending:
First and foremost, a lot of the blame can be placed soley on Evgeni Nabokov, who, for whatever reason, forgot how to cover his 5-hole. But can one technical error really account for huge jumps in statistical numbers?
Numbers in order for Evgeni Nabokov: GAA, Save %, postseason GAA, postseason Save %
2008-2009: 2.44, .910, 2.82, .890
2007-2008: 2.14, .910, 2.18, .908
2006-2007: 2.29, .914, 2.23, .920
The thing to note is the GAA, both in the postseason and the regular season. Almost half a goal more one year removed from being a Vezina trophy finalist.
Now, with all that said, do I want Todd McLellon out? Do I blame him for this step backwards? No. Last year I was adamant that Ron Wilson should not be fired, and two weeks later he was shown the door. If there is one thing Bay Area sports has shown, it is that championships are not won from one year's worth of changes. Things take time to develop and settle in, and the subtle fixes are the cornerstones of going from an early exit in the playoffs to making a run in the finals. In fact, outside of the Boston Celtics, most teams that try to make the huge change to push them over the top end up suffering drastically for it. Oakland Raiders anyone? Ron Wilson obviously did not deserve to be head coach, but I would imagine had he stayed within the San Jose system, a lot of the previously mentioned numbers would be a lot better. Ron Wilson was a defensive-minded coach, which got him a lot of criticism and blame for the offensive disappearance of his superstars in the postseason. But bring in an offensively-oriented Red Wings ex-coach and look what happened. In fact, I think the offensive numbers are worse.
A quick change is the worst direction GM Doug Wilson can take this franchise. Todd McLellon is a rookie coach, and about 25% of the team were not on the roster last year. Retirement questions are going to come up for Jeremy Roenick and Rob Blake. Roenick is more likely to retire, but that guy loves being in the locker room and is the hungriest player in the league for a Stanley Cup. Rob Blake still has a good year or two left in him, so he should stay. Dan Boyle being treated like Brian Campbell would be the biggest mistake possible this summer. If anyone wants to scream at Joe Thornton and Patrick Marleau: coming into the postseason, Thornton averaged better than a point a game. In fact, this year is probably the first postseason he's actually "choked". Marleau is the captain, he revitalized his career, and he scored the game winning goals in both wins. Salary cap may demand a move or two, but keep in mind that Torrey Mitchell was gone the entire regular season, and we still have Kyle McLaren. A change in style and system would be horrible, and if anything, another year practicing with the same guys and the same coach would probably show a great improvement (yes, even though we broke all sorts of records this regular season) next year over this one. Thus, I'm looking forward to seeing most, if not all, of the Sharks return for another run at the Cup next year, and hopefully McLellon and his staff learn how to teach some defense.
If you want a model of everything that I said shouldn't happen, read this article.
Ducks Eliminate Sharks in 6, Win at Home 4-1
After a disappointing game 5 loss, the Anaheim Ducks came out and played in the same dominating fashion that got them the 3-1 series lead, and a red hot finish to the regular season carried them into one of the biggest upsets in recent NHL playoff memory, as the 8th seeded ducks toppled the President's Trophy winning San Jose Sharks in 6 games by winning game 6 4-1.
At the drop of the puck, the rivalry hit the boiling point. Two seconds into the game, the top two superstars of each team, Joe Thornton and Ryan Getzlaf, dropped the gloves and had a fight in mid-ice. Whether or not the strategy worked for the Sharks is debateable, but Anaheim then took 3 consecutive penalties. On the third attempt, the Sharks scored the first goal of the game, as Milan Michalek found a rebound in the slot and shot it past the glove of Jonas Hiller to make it 1-0. But after a series of penalties had San Jose about to go on their fourth power play after killing of a brief Anaheim man advantage, Patrick Marleau took a very bad hooking penalty, giving the Ducks a 15 second 4 on 3. Anaheim only needed 14 seconds, as Corey Perry batted a puck out of midair and over the shoulder of Evgeni Nabokov to tie the game 1-1 on the power play.
Perry's first period goal started a scoring spree for the Ducks. Anaheim outshot the Sharks 15 to 8 in the second period, and were paid for it, courtesy of San Jose defenseman. On Anaheim's third power play, Teemu Selanne got the puck down low and tried to make a backdoor pass to Ryan Getzlaf. But instead of an assist, Selanne scored his first goal of the playoffs, as his pass deflected off a San Jose stick and into the net to give Anaheim the 2-1 lead. Then just over a minute later, Francois Beauchemin one-timed a shot from the point, which ramped off the shaft of another San Jose stick and into the top corner, and Anaheim took a commanding 3-1 lead into the third period.
Anaheim mostly played the third period in defense, creating turnovers in the neutral zone and keeping the puck out of their offensive zone. But The Ducks put on a clinic on puck-possession against the Sharks, as they beat out two icing calls in the period. The second call beaten out resulted in a wide open shot from the high slot by Ryan Getzlaf, who put in the fourth goal of the game for Anaheim to secure the win 4-1.
The San Jose Sharks were never really in the series, and after the first period they were never really in the game. Jonas Hiller and Bobby Ryan took over the series, and the Ducks out-played the Sharks in their own game, as Anaheim controlled the possession minutes throughout. Most of the first period and the third period was played without a whistle, as the first period had end to end action after the dust settled from all the penalty calls, while the third period was the Ducks killing off the clock and keeping the Sharks pinned in their own zone. There was a total of 60 penalty minutes handed out in game 6, with 30 coming in the first period alone. The victorious Anaheim Ducks move on to the Conference Semi-finals to face the Detroit Red Wings, who have not played a game for a week since sweeping the Columbus Blue Jackets, and are now the favorites to make it to the Stanley Cup Finals with the Sharks eliminated in 6.
Sunday, April 26, 2009
Day 12 Round 1 NHL Playoffs 2009
A very exciting day with both winning teams dominating their oppositions; forcing a game 7 after they were put on the brink of elimination.
Washington Capitals vs New York Rangers: Washington wins 5-3 (Series tied 3-3)
Don't let the score fool you: Washington led after two periods 5-1. Two third period goals by New York, including the third in the dying seconds, were meaningless as the Capitals simply laid back and let the win come to them. Henrik Lundqvist was pulled for the second straight game since he let in all five goals. The story of the game was secondary scoring, as Ovechkin only had 1 point, which was the fourth goal of the night (off a deflection as well). The Rangers seemed lost, confused, and not ready to play hockey, and we'll see whether they can stop the bleeding in game 7.
New Jersey Devils vs Carolina Hurricanes: Carolina wins 4-0 (Series tied 3-3)
Ray Whitney, Eric Staal, and Chad LaRose took over the series. The second line tandem accounted for all four goals, with the fourth coming on a 5 on 3 power play as the Devils imploded after Brendan Shanahan gave them their best scoring chance of the night. Staal, Whitney, and LaRose combined for three goals and six assists off the four goals. Carolina, the team with the fewest special teams play in the regular season (least penalized and least power play opportunities), were the recipients of 6 power play chances, with 4 of them coming in the third period. Through the first two periods, the Devils were limited to 15 shots compared to Carolina's 29. Of course, the Devils weren't about to sit down and take the beating, and some messages were sent near the end of the game as the hockey world prepares for what should be one of the biggest showdowns in recent playoff history.
A sudden burst of game sevens to be scheduled for Tuesday night. What are the odds San Jose and Calgary tuned into these games, as both teams are down in their series 2-3 and are facing an elimination game 6 Monday night. If Washington ends up winning game 7, is that the end of the playoffs for Jose Theodore? Or is Varlamov's leash a lot shorter than it seems, and he'll be yanked at the first sign of trouble? Going into game 7, New Jersey and Carolina is pretty much a coin flip match statistically. 4 games were decided by a goal, with game 1 and game 6 blowouts by New Jersey and Carolina respectively. Each team has a victory on the road and 2 at home. The only thing going for New Jersey is this: no team in this series has won 2 games in a row. If that pattern continues, New Jersey is primed up for a game 7 victory. Of course, it must be reiterated that that is the ONLY thing going for New Jersey heading into game 7. Everything else is dead even. I'm going as far as saying it will be the most exciting game this year in the playoffs (unless you're the fan of the Stanley Cup champion this year).
Washington Capitals vs New York Rangers: Washington wins 5-3 (Series tied 3-3)
Don't let the score fool you: Washington led after two periods 5-1. Two third period goals by New York, including the third in the dying seconds, were meaningless as the Capitals simply laid back and let the win come to them. Henrik Lundqvist was pulled for the second straight game since he let in all five goals. The story of the game was secondary scoring, as Ovechkin only had 1 point, which was the fourth goal of the night (off a deflection as well). The Rangers seemed lost, confused, and not ready to play hockey, and we'll see whether they can stop the bleeding in game 7.
New Jersey Devils vs Carolina Hurricanes: Carolina wins 4-0 (Series tied 3-3)
Ray Whitney, Eric Staal, and Chad LaRose took over the series. The second line tandem accounted for all four goals, with the fourth coming on a 5 on 3 power play as the Devils imploded after Brendan Shanahan gave them their best scoring chance of the night. Staal, Whitney, and LaRose combined for three goals and six assists off the four goals. Carolina, the team with the fewest special teams play in the regular season (least penalized and least power play opportunities), were the recipients of 6 power play chances, with 4 of them coming in the third period. Through the first two periods, the Devils were limited to 15 shots compared to Carolina's 29. Of course, the Devils weren't about to sit down and take the beating, and some messages were sent near the end of the game as the hockey world prepares for what should be one of the biggest showdowns in recent playoff history.
A sudden burst of game sevens to be scheduled for Tuesday night. What are the odds San Jose and Calgary tuned into these games, as both teams are down in their series 2-3 and are facing an elimination game 6 Monday night. If Washington ends up winning game 7, is that the end of the playoffs for Jose Theodore? Or is Varlamov's leash a lot shorter than it seems, and he'll be yanked at the first sign of trouble? Going into game 7, New Jersey and Carolina is pretty much a coin flip match statistically. 4 games were decided by a goal, with game 1 and game 6 blowouts by New Jersey and Carolina respectively. Each team has a victory on the road and 2 at home. The only thing going for New Jersey is this: no team in this series has won 2 games in a row. If that pattern continues, New Jersey is primed up for a game 7 victory. Of course, it must be reiterated that that is the ONLY thing going for New Jersey heading into game 7. Everything else is dead even. I'm going as far as saying it will be the most exciting game this year in the playoffs (unless you're the fan of the Stanley Cup champion this year).
Saturday, April 25, 2009
Day 11 Round 1 NHL Playoffs 2009
Three huge comebacks by three different teams yielding three very different results.
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Philadelphia Flyers: Pittsburgh wins 5-3 (Pittsburgh wins series 4-2)
The Penguins were down 0-3 early in the second period, and you got the sense Philadelphia fans were already preparing their cars for the cross-state trip to Pittsburgh for the decisive game 7. Then Sidney Crosby and Evgeni Malkin decided it was time to play hockey. Crosby scored the game tying goal at the end of the second and added an empty netter, and Malkin registerd two assists, including on the first goal for the Penguins that completely turned the momentum. Huge game changing point: Daniel Carcillo absolutely destroyed Max Talbot in a fight after the Flyers had a 3 goal lead. The crowd went wild and so did the Flyers bench. Yet it was the Penguins who came out with 5 unanswered goals. The Flyers were eliminated, but give them a lot of class: they hung in there to the bitter end and played one hell of a series after being absolutely humiliated in game 1.
Chicago Blackhawks vs Calgary Flames: Chicago wins 5-1 (Chicago leads series 3-2)
Is anyone else reminded of Calgary last year in the first round against San Jose? Chicago went up 2-0 with home ice and the Flames were reeling. Then Iginla woke up at home and the Flames tied the series 2-2 and seized the momentum. But once again on the road, they were absolutely dominated by the Blackhawks, and now are in a 3-2 deficit after their worst loss of the series and their starting goaltender pulled after allowing 4 goals on 18 shots. Iginla and Jokinen were held pointless, and Calgary were never in the game. Don't expect Calgary to lay down and die in game 6, as the home team has won every game in this series. But if that is the case, Chicago is almost a sure lock to come out the victors and move on to round 2.
San Jose Sharks vs Anaheim Ducks: San Jose wins 3-2 (Anaheim leads series 3-2)
The Sharks live to fight another day. For the first time in the series, San Jose had a 2 goal lead. Yet, like their game 3 victory, they gave the lead up to the Ducks, and it took another thrilling last minute effort to win the game. Two questions must be answered out of game 5: should the Sharks be worried with their inability to hold on to a lead? And will the Sharks come out with the same desperation and intensity as they did with game 5 when the series is sent back to Anaheim? Recall after coming back from a 0-2 series deficit and winning game 3; game 4 was their worst loss of the series that put them in the 1-3 hole, as they were shutout in Anaheim 0-4. A key match-up heading forward: Todd McLellon made it a point to keep Christian Ehrhoff and Douglas Murray out every shift Ryan Getzlaf's line was out, and Ehrhoff logged just 10 seconds less ice time than Getzlaf and the defensive pair led all San Jose skaters in ice time, logging more minutes than Boyle, Blake, Thornton, and Marleau. Dan Boyle, the focus of the Ducks, was held without a point, but Thornton had 3 and Marleau and Setoguchi had a goal and an assist each. Hiller was absolutely phenomenal, making 45 saves. Let's just say Anaheim probably isn't sweating the loss too much.
Only 20 out of about 230 teams (don't know the exact statistic) have come out of a 3-1 deficit. One team has already been eliminated: the Philadelphia Flyers after sending the series to 3-2. Washington sent their series to a game 6 yesterday and we'll see if they will defy the odds to force a game 7. San Jose's tall task will occur Monday night. What is up with the Calgary Flames? They absolutely dominated Chicago after they took some smack talk, and came out with absolutely no effort in game 5, despite tying up the series with two home wins and seemingly seizing all the momentum from the young Hawks.
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Philadelphia Flyers: Pittsburgh wins 5-3 (Pittsburgh wins series 4-2)
The Penguins were down 0-3 early in the second period, and you got the sense Philadelphia fans were already preparing their cars for the cross-state trip to Pittsburgh for the decisive game 7. Then Sidney Crosby and Evgeni Malkin decided it was time to play hockey. Crosby scored the game tying goal at the end of the second and added an empty netter, and Malkin registerd two assists, including on the first goal for the Penguins that completely turned the momentum. Huge game changing point: Daniel Carcillo absolutely destroyed Max Talbot in a fight after the Flyers had a 3 goal lead. The crowd went wild and so did the Flyers bench. Yet it was the Penguins who came out with 5 unanswered goals. The Flyers were eliminated, but give them a lot of class: they hung in there to the bitter end and played one hell of a series after being absolutely humiliated in game 1.
Chicago Blackhawks vs Calgary Flames: Chicago wins 5-1 (Chicago leads series 3-2)
Is anyone else reminded of Calgary last year in the first round against San Jose? Chicago went up 2-0 with home ice and the Flames were reeling. Then Iginla woke up at home and the Flames tied the series 2-2 and seized the momentum. But once again on the road, they were absolutely dominated by the Blackhawks, and now are in a 3-2 deficit after their worst loss of the series and their starting goaltender pulled after allowing 4 goals on 18 shots. Iginla and Jokinen were held pointless, and Calgary were never in the game. Don't expect Calgary to lay down and die in game 6, as the home team has won every game in this series. But if that is the case, Chicago is almost a sure lock to come out the victors and move on to round 2.
San Jose Sharks vs Anaheim Ducks: San Jose wins 3-2 (Anaheim leads series 3-2)
The Sharks live to fight another day. For the first time in the series, San Jose had a 2 goal lead. Yet, like their game 3 victory, they gave the lead up to the Ducks, and it took another thrilling last minute effort to win the game. Two questions must be answered out of game 5: should the Sharks be worried with their inability to hold on to a lead? And will the Sharks come out with the same desperation and intensity as they did with game 5 when the series is sent back to Anaheim? Recall after coming back from a 0-2 series deficit and winning game 3; game 4 was their worst loss of the series that put them in the 1-3 hole, as they were shutout in Anaheim 0-4. A key match-up heading forward: Todd McLellon made it a point to keep Christian Ehrhoff and Douglas Murray out every shift Ryan Getzlaf's line was out, and Ehrhoff logged just 10 seconds less ice time than Getzlaf and the defensive pair led all San Jose skaters in ice time, logging more minutes than Boyle, Blake, Thornton, and Marleau. Dan Boyle, the focus of the Ducks, was held without a point, but Thornton had 3 and Marleau and Setoguchi had a goal and an assist each. Hiller was absolutely phenomenal, making 45 saves. Let's just say Anaheim probably isn't sweating the loss too much.
Only 20 out of about 230 teams (don't know the exact statistic) have come out of a 3-1 deficit. One team has already been eliminated: the Philadelphia Flyers after sending the series to 3-2. Washington sent their series to a game 6 yesterday and we'll see if they will defy the odds to force a game 7. San Jose's tall task will occur Monday night. What is up with the Calgary Flames? They absolutely dominated Chicago after they took some smack talk, and came out with absolutely no effort in game 5, despite tying up the series with two home wins and seemingly seizing all the momentum from the young Hawks.
Sharks Hold Off Elimination, Defeat Ducks in Overtime 3-2
The San Jose Sharks entered game 5 with all the statistics being shoved in their faces from the hockey world: less than 10% of all teams down 3-1 come back to win a series. After giving up two goals in the third period and being forced into overtime, the Sharks had yet another statistical odd to overcome: San Jose was only 6 for 20 in playoff overtime history while the Anaheim Ducks had the best record in that regard. Yet the Sharks stuck to their game plan, and it paid dividends as they crashed the net with the puck lost underneath Jonas Hiller, and the confusion caused Hiller to push the puck behind him and across the line to give San Jose the 3-2 victory in overtime.
The Sharks dominated 55 minutes of regulation play, but it was the first 5 minutes of the third period that nearly cost them their playoff lives. San Jose came out with their best start in the series so far. In their second power play opportunity of the game early in the first period, Joe Thornton found a loose puck that bounced off of Jonas Hiller's mask, which caused the rookie phenom to be temporarily confused, giving Thornton an open hole on the short side for a rebound goal to give San Jose the 1-0 lead.
In the second period, the Sharks came out with the same dominating play, keeping the puck in the offensive end and outshooting the Ducks 29 to 13 through the first two periods. And they got their second goal at the end of the second, as Devin Setoguchi used his speed to break free of an Anaheim defender behind Anaheim's net, and shoving it short side on Jonas Hiller again who was dealing with an immense amount of traffic in front, and the Sharks took their first two goal lead of the series 2-0.
But Anaheim came out determined to eliminate the Sharks, and scored two goals under 4 minutes apart in the first 5 minutes of the third period to tie the game. On the second shift of the third period, a falling San Jose skater created a turnover in the neutral zone, and Andrew Ebbett found Ryan Carter in the high slot, who blasted a one-timer underneath Evgeni Nabokov's legs to cut the deficit in half 1-2. Then Scott Niedermayer managed to stretch his legs to their limits to stay onsides, maintained his speed in the offensive zone, and found Corey Perry behind the San Jose defense, who beat Nabokov one on one under the pads again to tie the game 2-2. San Jose answered back in the third, with three situations with their forwards one on one with Jonas Hiller, but Hiller made all the spectacular saves to keep the Ducks alive through regulation.
In overtime, Nabokov made two huge saves early on as the Ducks came out with a purpose. But after an offsides call stopped the offense of Anaheim, San Jose took over, outshooting the Ducks 7 to 3 in overtime. The 6th and 7th shot by Joe Thornton was the game winner, as he shot the puck off Hiller, found his own rebound, and shot it off Hiller again. The puck creeped under Hiller's pads behind him, sitting right on the line for what seemed like an eternity. But the pressure by Patrick Marleau poking at the puck caused Hiller to fall backwards, and his glove sweeped the puck just across the line and into the corner of the net. The play was reviewed but was quickly determined as a good goal, as the back referee had a clear view of the puck the entire time, and San Jose survived to force a game 6 back to Anaheim with a 3-2 overtime win.
After the much maligned first line of San Jose failed to produce any points in the 4-0 shutout in game 4, They contributed to all the goals, as Joe Thornton had a goal and two assists, and Patrick Marleau had an assist and scored the game winning goal, giving him the game winner in every San Jose victory in the series. Devin Setoguchi also scored his first of the series, and contributed a secondary assist on the overtime winner. Jonathan Cheechoo and Joe Pavelski led all skaters with 7 shots on goal each, but Cheechoo had half the ice time of Pavelski. San Jose coach Todd McLellon, who was noticed for his ability to match-up lines with Ryan Carlyle, kept the defensive pair of Christian Ehrhoff and Douglas Murray on the ice the same time as the dreaded Ryan Getzlaf first line of the Ducks. As a result, Ehrhoff and Murray logged more minutes than Dan Boyle and Rob Blake, and did a solid job shutting down the first line until the game-tying goal by Corey Perry in the third period. Hiller was once again the best player for the Ducks, as he made 45 saves on 48 shots. There were no penalties in the third period or overtime, as both teams only had 3 power play opportunities. San Jose went 1 for 3 while Anaheim was 0 for 3 with the man advantage. Game 6 will be played Monday night in Anaheim, as the Ducks get a second chance to eliminate their upstate rivals at home.
Day 10 Round 1 NHL Playoffs 2009
With so many sweeps in the first round, today hosted only one playoff match.
Washington Capitals vs New York Rangers: Washington wins 4-0 (New York leads series 3-2)
The Capitals live to see another day, and won in a pretty convincing fashion. Henrik Lundqvist was pulled for the third period after allowing 4 goals on 14 shots. Alexander Ovechkin netted his second of the playoffs and Semin continues to be hot. Varlamov played another strong game, and he is the only reason why the Capitals even has 2 wins in the series. Surprisingly, there was not a lot of space for either team, as there were only a combined 41 shots on goal (1 shot edge to the Capitals), and a combined 0 for 11 effort on the power play. Big concern for the Capitals as they try to send the series to a 7th game as they will play the 6th game in New York: 0 for 7 on the power play. And that's 7 power play opportunities with Sean Avery out of the line-up. 3 game misconducts were handed out in the third period, with 2 going to the Rangers. Still, I believe the Rangers will pull the upset in game 6 at home.
New York coach John Tortorella benched Sean Avery for game 5 since the agitator was taking too many bad penalties, especially after game 4. However, at the end of game 5, Tortorella threw his water bottle into the stands after an argument with a fan. Interesting statistic as the Rangers head to New York for game 6 and their second opportunity to eliminate the second seeded Capitals: the Rangers are 0 for 18 on the power play in the last 4 games.
Washington Capitals vs New York Rangers: Washington wins 4-0 (New York leads series 3-2)
The Capitals live to see another day, and won in a pretty convincing fashion. Henrik Lundqvist was pulled for the third period after allowing 4 goals on 14 shots. Alexander Ovechkin netted his second of the playoffs and Semin continues to be hot. Varlamov played another strong game, and he is the only reason why the Capitals even has 2 wins in the series. Surprisingly, there was not a lot of space for either team, as there were only a combined 41 shots on goal (1 shot edge to the Capitals), and a combined 0 for 11 effort on the power play. Big concern for the Capitals as they try to send the series to a 7th game as they will play the 6th game in New York: 0 for 7 on the power play. And that's 7 power play opportunities with Sean Avery out of the line-up. 3 game misconducts were handed out in the third period, with 2 going to the Rangers. Still, I believe the Rangers will pull the upset in game 6 at home.
New York coach John Tortorella benched Sean Avery for game 5 since the agitator was taking too many bad penalties, especially after game 4. However, at the end of game 5, Tortorella threw his water bottle into the stands after an argument with a fan. Interesting statistic as the Rangers head to New York for game 6 and their second opportunity to eliminate the second seeded Capitals: the Rangers are 0 for 18 on the power play in the last 4 games.
Thursday, April 23, 2009
Day 9 Round 1 NHL Playoffs 2009
This will probably be one of the last playoff posts, as I am debating how motivated I will be to continue to follow hockey after San Jose is eliminated.
Detroit Red Wings vs Columbus Blue Jackets: Detroit wins 6-5 (Detroit wins series 4-0)
And our third sweep of a surprisingly quick first round. The Blue Jackets played with a lot of heart and almost took the game to overtime. Then a very controversial too many men on the ice call gave Detroit a power play in the final minute of the third period, and it was all the Wings needed, as Franzen netted the power play goal to give the Wings a 6-5 victory and the 4-0 sweep. You have to think that if the Blue Jackets figured out their game plan that they executed in game 4 about 3 games earlier, this series could be tied or at least would go back to Detroit for a game 5. But the Ohio fans showed their appreciation for the franchise's first playoff run, and the defending champs are having a very easy time so far; bad news for the rest of the Western Conference.
New Jersey Devils vs Carolina Hurricanes: New Jersey wins 1-0 (New Jersey leads series 3-2)
The key to the game was Martin Brodeur, and how he would react after he was visibly upset by the referees. Looks like he learned his lesson from last year, and he posted his first shutout of the series, stopping an onslaught of 44 shots in a game that had 86 total shots registered on the shot clock. It was a great goaltended game, considering how wide open the ice was for both teams offensively, yet the end result only yielded 1 goal to the Devils. I can't help but get the feeling that the Hurricanes came out with everything they had, and this loss could be extremely deflating as game 6 heads back to Carolina. Despite how tight this series has been, New Jersey in 6 is suddenly very possible.
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Philadelphia Flyers: Philadelphia wins 3-0 (Pittsburgh leads series 3-2)
Martin Biron made 28 saves to shutout the high-flying Penguins and force a game 6 back in Philadelphia. But the biggest statistic is: Sidney Crosby at a -2 and 4 PIMs. Yes, Pittsburgh was outplayed after the first period on all aspects of the game, but that sort of performance from their captain is not what the Penguins needed in what they hoped would be a 5 game series. Now, they have to travel to hostile territory to try and prevent a game 7. If the Flyers manage to tie it up 3-3, suddenly all the pressure is on the backs of the defending Eastern Conference champions. And talk about secondary scoring: Jeff Carter and Mike Richards combined for just 1 assist in the game 5 win, and Mike Knuble, who scored the third goal, led the team with 7 shots on goal.
San Jose Sharks vs Anaheim Ducks: Anaheim wins 4-0 (Anaheim leads series 3-1)
Suddenly the firing of Ron Wilson, San Jose's winningest coach, is looking like a very bad idea. The Sharks and their fans don't care about the regular season success. Coming into the season, they were going to be judged on their postseason success, and the Sharks simply gave no effort in game 4 of what was as close to a must-win as any other game in this series. Ron Wilson was criticized for his defense-first philosophy and the lack of offense he was able to get out of his superstars Marleau and Thornton, so GM Doug Wilson took him out of the equation and got the puck-possession, fire the puck and ask questions later coach Todd McLellon to revitalize the team into the highest point total team in the regular season. But through all the success, one important aspect of the game was overshadowed: since the dismissal of Ron Wilson, defensive turnovers have sky-rocketed and Evgeni Nabokov's numbers have jumped since he was a Vezina trophy finalist last year. But give the Ducks credit: their fourth line and two rookies in Bobby Ryan and Jonas Hiller have outplayed San Jose's top two lines night in and night out throughout the series, and a team that looked to be rebuilding during the trade deadline suddenly is looking forward to the conference sesmi-finals, taking the elimination game to San Jose where Jonas Hiller has had most of his success against the Sharks this year.
After this humiliating 0-4 loss to the Ducks, what is interesting more now than the playoffs is what will Doug Wilson do with the team with an extra two weeks of summer than he and his franchise are normally accustomed to. Retirement questions are looming for Rob Blake and Jeremy Roenick, who are taking up some cap space for guys like Kyle McLaren and Jody Shelley. And unless Wilson wants to hire more old guys, you'd have to assume that Marc-Edouard Vlasic will be given a raise after his great defensive performance this year. Oh right, there's still playoff hockey. Obviously the series to watch will be Carolina/New Jersey and Philadelphia/Pittsburgh, as it has been since day 1 of the playoffs.
Detroit Red Wings vs Columbus Blue Jackets: Detroit wins 6-5 (Detroit wins series 4-0)
And our third sweep of a surprisingly quick first round. The Blue Jackets played with a lot of heart and almost took the game to overtime. Then a very controversial too many men on the ice call gave Detroit a power play in the final minute of the third period, and it was all the Wings needed, as Franzen netted the power play goal to give the Wings a 6-5 victory and the 4-0 sweep. You have to think that if the Blue Jackets figured out their game plan that they executed in game 4 about 3 games earlier, this series could be tied or at least would go back to Detroit for a game 5. But the Ohio fans showed their appreciation for the franchise's first playoff run, and the defending champs are having a very easy time so far; bad news for the rest of the Western Conference.
New Jersey Devils vs Carolina Hurricanes: New Jersey wins 1-0 (New Jersey leads series 3-2)
The key to the game was Martin Brodeur, and how he would react after he was visibly upset by the referees. Looks like he learned his lesson from last year, and he posted his first shutout of the series, stopping an onslaught of 44 shots in a game that had 86 total shots registered on the shot clock. It was a great goaltended game, considering how wide open the ice was for both teams offensively, yet the end result only yielded 1 goal to the Devils. I can't help but get the feeling that the Hurricanes came out with everything they had, and this loss could be extremely deflating as game 6 heads back to Carolina. Despite how tight this series has been, New Jersey in 6 is suddenly very possible.
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Philadelphia Flyers: Philadelphia wins 3-0 (Pittsburgh leads series 3-2)
Martin Biron made 28 saves to shutout the high-flying Penguins and force a game 6 back in Philadelphia. But the biggest statistic is: Sidney Crosby at a -2 and 4 PIMs. Yes, Pittsburgh was outplayed after the first period on all aspects of the game, but that sort of performance from their captain is not what the Penguins needed in what they hoped would be a 5 game series. Now, they have to travel to hostile territory to try and prevent a game 7. If the Flyers manage to tie it up 3-3, suddenly all the pressure is on the backs of the defending Eastern Conference champions. And talk about secondary scoring: Jeff Carter and Mike Richards combined for just 1 assist in the game 5 win, and Mike Knuble, who scored the third goal, led the team with 7 shots on goal.
San Jose Sharks vs Anaheim Ducks: Anaheim wins 4-0 (Anaheim leads series 3-1)
Suddenly the firing of Ron Wilson, San Jose's winningest coach, is looking like a very bad idea. The Sharks and their fans don't care about the regular season success. Coming into the season, they were going to be judged on their postseason success, and the Sharks simply gave no effort in game 4 of what was as close to a must-win as any other game in this series. Ron Wilson was criticized for his defense-first philosophy and the lack of offense he was able to get out of his superstars Marleau and Thornton, so GM Doug Wilson took him out of the equation and got the puck-possession, fire the puck and ask questions later coach Todd McLellon to revitalize the team into the highest point total team in the regular season. But through all the success, one important aspect of the game was overshadowed: since the dismissal of Ron Wilson, defensive turnovers have sky-rocketed and Evgeni Nabokov's numbers have jumped since he was a Vezina trophy finalist last year. But give the Ducks credit: their fourth line and two rookies in Bobby Ryan and Jonas Hiller have outplayed San Jose's top two lines night in and night out throughout the series, and a team that looked to be rebuilding during the trade deadline suddenly is looking forward to the conference sesmi-finals, taking the elimination game to San Jose where Jonas Hiller has had most of his success against the Sharks this year.
After this humiliating 0-4 loss to the Ducks, what is interesting more now than the playoffs is what will Doug Wilson do with the team with an extra two weeks of summer than he and his franchise are normally accustomed to. Retirement questions are looming for Rob Blake and Jeremy Roenick, who are taking up some cap space for guys like Kyle McLaren and Jody Shelley. And unless Wilson wants to hire more old guys, you'd have to assume that Marc-Edouard Vlasic will be given a raise after his great defensive performance this year. Oh right, there's still playoff hockey. Obviously the series to watch will be Carolina/New Jersey and Philadelphia/Pittsburgh, as it has been since day 1 of the playoffs.
Ducks Take 3-1 Series Lead Over Sharks With 4-0 Win
The Anaheim Ducks changed all the patterns of the series. They became the first team to lead after two periods of play, and they became the first home team to win a game, as they shutout San Jose with a 4-0 victory at home to take a 3-1 series lead with game 5 headed back to San Jose.
The first period was well played by San Jose, despite giving up the first two power plays to the Anaheim Ducks. The Sharks ended up outshooting Anaheim 10 to 8 and controlling much of the offensive pace in the second half of the period. However, everything, including a pane of glass in between the benches, fell apart for the Sharks in the second. At 6:33 in the second period, Bobby Ryan stickhandled around a Sharks defenseman before whipping a shot past Evgeni Nabokov on the far side to give Anaheim the 1-0 lead. Then, Ryan crashed into the pane of glass that seperates the two benches on his next shift, creating an extended delay as both coaches were adamant to have the glass repaired. The big question was how would the teams respond, as Anaheim had all the momentum going their way. But the Ducks were not phased, and caught the Sharks sleeping, as they scored just seconds after the game resumed, as a huge rebound given up by Nabokov slid to the high slot and right to Bobby Ryan's stick, who virtually had an empty net goal for his second of the game to give the Ducks the 2-0 lead.
The onslaught continued in the third period. The Ducks were content to sit back and let the clock wind down, but a huge turnover late in the third period resulted in another Ducks goal. Ryan Getzlaf was the recipient of a San Jose breakout pass, and he shot the puck right off Corey Perry's stick for the deflection goal. With two minutes left in the game, Nabokov was pulled for the extra skater, but another turnover by the Sharks led to a Drew Miller empty net goal to seal the win for the Anaheim Ducks, as they took a 3-1 series lead with their second shutout of the top seeded team in the NHL playoffs.
After the first period, the Sharks were outplayed in every aspect of the game. Both teams were blanked on the power play, as Anaheim went 0-5 and San Jose were a quiet 0-2. But the Ducks outshot San Jose 12 to 9 in the second period, and would've had a greater shot margin if it were not for the blocked shots by the Sharks. Jonas Hiller made 31 saves to record his second shutout of the series and his short playoff career. Ryan Getzlaf and Todd Marchant combined to win 75% of the faceoffs against San Jose's top two lines, which was one of the glaring statistics despite both teams ending up even on faceoffs 28 to 28. At the end of the game, Douglas Murray received a cross-checking minor, causing a fight in the corner which resulted in two game misconducts handed out to Jeremy Roenick and Sheldon Brookbank. It is likely that the league will review the incident and if any player is to be suspended, it will most likely be a San Jose Shark. Game 5 will be back in San Jose, where the Sharks are 0-2 in the first two games of the series, getting shutout in game 1 and falling short of a comeback effort 2-3, as they try to stave off elimination by the hands of their interstate rival.
Day 8 Round 1 NHL Playoffs 2009
One more team is eliminated and two teams are solidifying their positions in the second round, one by the advantage in the series and the other through a huge momentum shift.
Washington Capitals vs New York Rangers: New York wins 2-1 (New York leads series 3-1)
Chris Drury returned from injury and Henrik Lundqvist made 39 saves in a 2-1 victory over the Capitals to take a 3-1 series lead before game 5 heads back to Washington, where the Rangers went 2-0 this series. Ovechkin scored his first goal of the playoffs and the Capitals outshot the rangers 39 to 21, limiting the rangers to just 5 shots on goal in each of the last two periods of the game. Rookie goaltender Varlamov played well, but despite all of these positives for the Capitals, the Rangers still found a way to win, which puts huge worries on the #2 seed as they try to stave off elimination at home. The key factor in what looks to be the first first round upset of the playoffs: Washington went 0-6 on the power play. They were top 5 in every offensive category throughout the season, so to have the Capitals struggle on the power play is an absolute killer for the favorites. It might go to game 6, but the Rangers should not have the series extended to a seventh.
Boston Bruins vs Montreal Canadiens: Boston wins 4-1 (Boston wins series 4-0)
And the second sweep of the playoffs has the Boston Bruins as the second team making the conference semi-finals. Unlike the Vancouver/St. Louis series, Boston absolutely destroyed Montreal in each of the four games, and the Canadiens didn't put up much of a fight in their 100th year anniversary. At least Komisarek went out with a bang: 20 PIM to be exact. A fight, a cross-check major, and a 10 minute game misconduct that had him miss the last 8 minutes of the third period. Not like he wanted to be on the ice when the Bruins won. With Washington out of the picture and New Jersey having to fight for every win against the Hurricanes, Boston is a huge favorite to come out of the Eastern Conference relatively unscathed.
Chicago Blackhawks vs Calgary Flames: Calgary wins 6-4 (Series tied 2-2)
Bad news for the Blackhawks: every analyst said it was a bad idea to provoke Iginla, and it turned out that everyone was right. The stale offense of the Flames, backed by a relatively poor goaltending performance from Kiprusoff found Calgary down 0-2 in the series. After a gutsy and hard-fought win in game 3, there was a bit of nastiness that seems to have revitalized the Calgary offense. Surprisingly, there were very few power plays in the game. But Jarome Iginla woke up, putting up 2 goals and an assist. Olli Jokinen matched him and took first star awards with 2 goals, an assist, and a +4 rating. Give the Blackhawks credit: they backed their bark with some bite, allowing 4 unanswered goals to Calgary to be down in the game 1-4 before roaring back with 3 goals of their own late in the second to tie it. Khabibulin was less than spectacular, and Kiprusoff played much better than the stat sheet will show, which is very bad news for the Hawks heading forward in this series. Their two home wins had Calgary scoring 2 goals each (Iginla and Jokinen combined for a goal and 2 assists), but the two road losses in Calgary had the Flames scoring 4 goals and 6 goals respectively, and Iginla and Jokinen only had one assist between the two in game 3. Chicago's offense has been giving a steady dose of an average of 3 goals per game. The real question has been the offense of the Flames, and with the superstar and the big trade acquisition suddenly awoken from their slumber, only bad news awaits Chicago in the future.
Despite the history and rivalry and all the build-up, a blowout by Boston could only provide so much interest and intensity in a one-sided series. New York and Washington has also been one of the most mild-mannered match-ups, even with Sean Avery in the mix. All attention should be on Chicago/Calgary, and Carolina/New Jersey. San Joes and Anaheim have the potential to be interesting depending on the result Thursday night in game 4. Philadelphia and Pittsburgh has been the most hard-fought series up to now, but it looks like the Pens will eliminate the Flyers in 5. If it wasn't for Chicago and Calgary, Day 8 would have been one of the most boring playoff days in NHL history.
Washington Capitals vs New York Rangers: New York wins 2-1 (New York leads series 3-1)
Chris Drury returned from injury and Henrik Lundqvist made 39 saves in a 2-1 victory over the Capitals to take a 3-1 series lead before game 5 heads back to Washington, where the Rangers went 2-0 this series. Ovechkin scored his first goal of the playoffs and the Capitals outshot the rangers 39 to 21, limiting the rangers to just 5 shots on goal in each of the last two periods of the game. Rookie goaltender Varlamov played well, but despite all of these positives for the Capitals, the Rangers still found a way to win, which puts huge worries on the #2 seed as they try to stave off elimination at home. The key factor in what looks to be the first first round upset of the playoffs: Washington went 0-6 on the power play. They were top 5 in every offensive category throughout the season, so to have the Capitals struggle on the power play is an absolute killer for the favorites. It might go to game 6, but the Rangers should not have the series extended to a seventh.
Boston Bruins vs Montreal Canadiens: Boston wins 4-1 (Boston wins series 4-0)
And the second sweep of the playoffs has the Boston Bruins as the second team making the conference semi-finals. Unlike the Vancouver/St. Louis series, Boston absolutely destroyed Montreal in each of the four games, and the Canadiens didn't put up much of a fight in their 100th year anniversary. At least Komisarek went out with a bang: 20 PIM to be exact. A fight, a cross-check major, and a 10 minute game misconduct that had him miss the last 8 minutes of the third period. Not like he wanted to be on the ice when the Bruins won. With Washington out of the picture and New Jersey having to fight for every win against the Hurricanes, Boston is a huge favorite to come out of the Eastern Conference relatively unscathed.
Chicago Blackhawks vs Calgary Flames: Calgary wins 6-4 (Series tied 2-2)
Bad news for the Blackhawks: every analyst said it was a bad idea to provoke Iginla, and it turned out that everyone was right. The stale offense of the Flames, backed by a relatively poor goaltending performance from Kiprusoff found Calgary down 0-2 in the series. After a gutsy and hard-fought win in game 3, there was a bit of nastiness that seems to have revitalized the Calgary offense. Surprisingly, there were very few power plays in the game. But Jarome Iginla woke up, putting up 2 goals and an assist. Olli Jokinen matched him and took first star awards with 2 goals, an assist, and a +4 rating. Give the Blackhawks credit: they backed their bark with some bite, allowing 4 unanswered goals to Calgary to be down in the game 1-4 before roaring back with 3 goals of their own late in the second to tie it. Khabibulin was less than spectacular, and Kiprusoff played much better than the stat sheet will show, which is very bad news for the Hawks heading forward in this series. Their two home wins had Calgary scoring 2 goals each (Iginla and Jokinen combined for a goal and 2 assists), but the two road losses in Calgary had the Flames scoring 4 goals and 6 goals respectively, and Iginla and Jokinen only had one assist between the two in game 3. Chicago's offense has been giving a steady dose of an average of 3 goals per game. The real question has been the offense of the Flames, and with the superstar and the big trade acquisition suddenly awoken from their slumber, only bad news awaits Chicago in the future.
Despite the history and rivalry and all the build-up, a blowout by Boston could only provide so much interest and intensity in a one-sided series. New York and Washington has also been one of the most mild-mannered match-ups, even with Sean Avery in the mix. All attention should be on Chicago/Calgary, and Carolina/New Jersey. San Joes and Anaheim have the potential to be interesting depending on the result Thursday night in game 4. Philadelphia and Pittsburgh has been the most hard-fought series up to now, but it looks like the Pens will eliminate the Flyers in 5. If it wasn't for Chicago and Calgary, Day 8 would have been one of the most boring playoff days in NHL history.
Tuesday, April 21, 2009
Day 7 Round 1 NHL Playoffs 2009
A busy 5 game day in the playoffs, and we now have our first team in the conference semi-finals.
Vancouver Canucks vs St. Louis Blues: Vancouver wins 3-2 (Vancouver wins series 4-0)
For the first time in franchise history, the Vancouver Canucks sweep their opponents in a best of seven series in the playoffs. It wasn't easy, however, as it took a full game and almost an entire overtime period, as Burrows scored with under a minute left in the first OT to move the Canucks to the second round. The Canucks also got help from the referee, as a puck that crossed the line in the third period with several Blues crashing the net was negated as a goal because the referees deemed that the whistle was blown before it completely crossed. Controversial or not, the Canucks still won and there will be no game 5. Vancouver is rolling, and they have every part of their game going on. If San Jose wins, the Canucks will most likely face the Detroit Red Wings. If Anaheim wins, the Canucks will face the winner of the Chicago/Calgary series. Either way, they'll have a monster second round match-up, and they better hope the extended break won't cool them down too much.
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Philadelphia Flyers: Pittsburgh wins 3-1 (Pittsburgh leads series 3-1)
By all means the Flyers should have won the game, tied the series, and made game 5 the critical game of the war between the Pennsylvania rivals. Instead, Marc-Andre Fleury made 45 saves, and Pittsburgh scored the first two goals and added an empty netter to take a commanding 3-1 series lead back to Pittsburgh. For the second time in the series, the first goal of the game was scored by a flailing Sidney Crosby crashing hard to the net and having the puck obscurely bounce off of him and over the goal line. Philadelphia can still win game 5 and probably game 6 if it gets there based on the way they played today, but a hard-fought loss could also drain the energy out of a team on the brink of elimination. Either way, the Penguins are more than happy to be in control.
New Jersey Devils vs Carolina Hurricanes: Carolina wins 4-3 (Series tied 2-2)
Martin Brodeur had 42 saves, but with .2 seconds left, he let in a deflected shot after he was distracted from taking a slight bump while Jussi Jokinen was trying to set up for a screen. Said Brodeur: I'm not complaining about Carolina, you have to respect the way they play. It is the referee's job to call it, and tonight they did a bad job, both of them. Harsh words from the winningest goaltender in NHL history. Brodeur was livid after the goal was scored and counted, arguing with the ref before banging his stick against the ice and the wall. Remind anyone of last year? Brodeur will have to recover from this and keep his cool, and he did point out in the post-game that the Devils haven't lost anything yet because they still have home ice. And even if the Hurricanes don't pull the upset, at least they made history: for the first time in the NHL playoffs, the game winning goal was scored with less than a second left in the third/overtime period. What was promised to be a tight series is living up to all its expectations. One important thing not to forget after the whole Brodeur fiasco: the Devils came back from a 0-3 deficit to tie it 3-3 in the third period.
Detroit Red Wings vs Columbus Blue Jackets: Detroit wins 4-1 (Detroit leads series 3-0)
The Red Wings put themselves in position to be the second team in the first round of the WCQF to sweep their opponent, as they defeated the Blue Jackets in their franchise's first home playoff game in a very convincing manner. Steve Mason said they make it almost look easy. I would take out the "almost". The key to this series being such a blowout after a lot of experts said it might take an extra two games for the defending champs: Chris Osgood. After having a horrible regular season in his battle for the starting position with Ty Conklin, Osgood has not allowed more than 1 goal in each of the 3 games played. And of course, nobody needs to reiterate the skill level of the forwards of Detroit. Rick Nash needs to find a way around Nicklas Lidstrom if the Blue Jackets have any hope of sending it back to Detroit, which is basically saying the Blue Jackets will be swept.
San Jose Sharks vs Anaheim Ducks: San Jose wins 4-3 (Anaheim leads series 2-1)
The President Trophy winners have finally won their first playoff game of the year, defeating Anaheim on the road 4-3. In the first two games, the Sharks never led. In this game, the Ducks never had a lead, although San Jose did give up 3. But major changes were made, as the Sharks went 2 for 3 on the power play, and Patrick Marleau, Joe Thornton, Dan Boyle, and Rob Blake combined for 7 points (4 goals and 3 assists). Two big turnovers in the defensive zone led to two game-tying goals by the Ducks, which will have to be addressed if the Sharks hope to even out the series to make it a best of 3. But surprise surprise, Torrey Mitchell, who skated in only two AHL games after reinjuring his leg, started in his first NHL game of the season, and turned out to play a key role in what could be one of the most important games of the season for the Sharks. He logged a little under 7 minutes of ice time and was a force on the forecheck, using that speed the San Jose fans love so much. Patrick Marleau and Joe Thornton skated with about 10 different line combinations, and the mixture of speed and size worked wonders on the forecheck. Going 2 for 3 on the power play in game 3 can be misleading. One game can't really be judged as a turning point of getting out of any kind of funk. In the bigger scheme of things, San Jose is still 2 for 15 on the power play in the series, including a 4 on 3 they failed to capitalize on in the first period (the one man advantage they didn't score with) in game 3. No matter how you look at it, game 4 is still as much of a must-win as the Sharks made it feel like in game 3. And you can't count the Ducks out just yet; the game was as close as the score, and game 4 is still in Ducks territory.
Dan Boyle, who was brought in to prevent San Jose from another playoff choke, stepped up both in the locker room and on the ice. But an 0-2 deficit shouldn't faze him: his Tampa Bay Lightning were down 0-2 to the Montreal Canadiens in 2004. They won the next 4 games, and the rest is history. It will be interesting to see how the extended rest affects the Vancouver Canucks. Regardless of who they face, they will probably have a very tough 6 or 7 game series in round 2. The rest could either play a key factor in them taking the series, or it could throw them off their dominating play and play a role in them ultimately losing the series if they drop an early game or two.
Vancouver Canucks vs St. Louis Blues: Vancouver wins 3-2 (Vancouver wins series 4-0)
For the first time in franchise history, the Vancouver Canucks sweep their opponents in a best of seven series in the playoffs. It wasn't easy, however, as it took a full game and almost an entire overtime period, as Burrows scored with under a minute left in the first OT to move the Canucks to the second round. The Canucks also got help from the referee, as a puck that crossed the line in the third period with several Blues crashing the net was negated as a goal because the referees deemed that the whistle was blown before it completely crossed. Controversial or not, the Canucks still won and there will be no game 5. Vancouver is rolling, and they have every part of their game going on. If San Jose wins, the Canucks will most likely face the Detroit Red Wings. If Anaheim wins, the Canucks will face the winner of the Chicago/Calgary series. Either way, they'll have a monster second round match-up, and they better hope the extended break won't cool them down too much.
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Philadelphia Flyers: Pittsburgh wins 3-1 (Pittsburgh leads series 3-1)
By all means the Flyers should have won the game, tied the series, and made game 5 the critical game of the war between the Pennsylvania rivals. Instead, Marc-Andre Fleury made 45 saves, and Pittsburgh scored the first two goals and added an empty netter to take a commanding 3-1 series lead back to Pittsburgh. For the second time in the series, the first goal of the game was scored by a flailing Sidney Crosby crashing hard to the net and having the puck obscurely bounce off of him and over the goal line. Philadelphia can still win game 5 and probably game 6 if it gets there based on the way they played today, but a hard-fought loss could also drain the energy out of a team on the brink of elimination. Either way, the Penguins are more than happy to be in control.
New Jersey Devils vs Carolina Hurricanes: Carolina wins 4-3 (Series tied 2-2)
Martin Brodeur had 42 saves, but with .2 seconds left, he let in a deflected shot after he was distracted from taking a slight bump while Jussi Jokinen was trying to set up for a screen. Said Brodeur: I'm not complaining about Carolina, you have to respect the way they play. It is the referee's job to call it, and tonight they did a bad job, both of them. Harsh words from the winningest goaltender in NHL history. Brodeur was livid after the goal was scored and counted, arguing with the ref before banging his stick against the ice and the wall. Remind anyone of last year? Brodeur will have to recover from this and keep his cool, and he did point out in the post-game that the Devils haven't lost anything yet because they still have home ice. And even if the Hurricanes don't pull the upset, at least they made history: for the first time in the NHL playoffs, the game winning goal was scored with less than a second left in the third/overtime period. What was promised to be a tight series is living up to all its expectations. One important thing not to forget after the whole Brodeur fiasco: the Devils came back from a 0-3 deficit to tie it 3-3 in the third period.
Detroit Red Wings vs Columbus Blue Jackets: Detroit wins 4-1 (Detroit leads series 3-0)
The Red Wings put themselves in position to be the second team in the first round of the WCQF to sweep their opponent, as they defeated the Blue Jackets in their franchise's first home playoff game in a very convincing manner. Steve Mason said they make it almost look easy. I would take out the "almost". The key to this series being such a blowout after a lot of experts said it might take an extra two games for the defending champs: Chris Osgood. After having a horrible regular season in his battle for the starting position with Ty Conklin, Osgood has not allowed more than 1 goal in each of the 3 games played. And of course, nobody needs to reiterate the skill level of the forwards of Detroit. Rick Nash needs to find a way around Nicklas Lidstrom if the Blue Jackets have any hope of sending it back to Detroit, which is basically saying the Blue Jackets will be swept.
San Jose Sharks vs Anaheim Ducks: San Jose wins 4-3 (Anaheim leads series 2-1)
The President Trophy winners have finally won their first playoff game of the year, defeating Anaheim on the road 4-3. In the first two games, the Sharks never led. In this game, the Ducks never had a lead, although San Jose did give up 3. But major changes were made, as the Sharks went 2 for 3 on the power play, and Patrick Marleau, Joe Thornton, Dan Boyle, and Rob Blake combined for 7 points (4 goals and 3 assists). Two big turnovers in the defensive zone led to two game-tying goals by the Ducks, which will have to be addressed if the Sharks hope to even out the series to make it a best of 3. But surprise surprise, Torrey Mitchell, who skated in only two AHL games after reinjuring his leg, started in his first NHL game of the season, and turned out to play a key role in what could be one of the most important games of the season for the Sharks. He logged a little under 7 minutes of ice time and was a force on the forecheck, using that speed the San Jose fans love so much. Patrick Marleau and Joe Thornton skated with about 10 different line combinations, and the mixture of speed and size worked wonders on the forecheck. Going 2 for 3 on the power play in game 3 can be misleading. One game can't really be judged as a turning point of getting out of any kind of funk. In the bigger scheme of things, San Jose is still 2 for 15 on the power play in the series, including a 4 on 3 they failed to capitalize on in the first period (the one man advantage they didn't score with) in game 3. No matter how you look at it, game 4 is still as much of a must-win as the Sharks made it feel like in game 3. And you can't count the Ducks out just yet; the game was as close as the score, and game 4 is still in Ducks territory.
Dan Boyle, who was brought in to prevent San Jose from another playoff choke, stepped up both in the locker room and on the ice. But an 0-2 deficit shouldn't faze him: his Tampa Bay Lightning were down 0-2 to the Montreal Canadiens in 2004. They won the next 4 games, and the rest is history. It will be interesting to see how the extended rest affects the Vancouver Canucks. Regardless of who they face, they will probably have a very tough 6 or 7 game series in round 2. The rest could either play a key factor in them taking the series, or it could throw them off their dominating play and play a role in them ultimately losing the series if they drop an early game or two.
Sharks Defeat Ducks in Game 3 4-3
Down 0-2 in the Western Conference Quarterfinals, critics and fans were quick to jump on the San Jose Sharks. The power play was 0-12. Their top players Thornton, Marleau, Boyle, and Blake combined for just one assist at home. Dan Boyle said after the home loss in Game 2 that "most teams don't come back from (being down 0-2). We have to decide if we're going to be like more teams or if we want to be something special." Dan Boyle and the rest of the all-stars on the Sharks solved all their problems in one game, never allowing the Ducks to lead once and securing their first 2009 postseason win 4-3 in Anaheim.
The first period was what everyone expected out of the interstate rivalry: a rough, fast-paced, penalty-filled shootout. San Jose started the game roughly, as Patrick Marleau took a 4 minute double minor as he high-sticked Ryan Getzlaf under the chin and drew blood. But under 20 seconds later, Getzlaf was called for an interference penalty as he pushed Joe Pavelski into the boards. With the extra space, both teams had opportune breakaway chances, but both goaltenders were better. But after offsetting roughing minors put the teams back on the 4 on 4, the San Jose defenseman, who were critical in the offensive success throughout the regular season, contributed to the first goal. Marc-Edouard Vlasic created a turnover in the offensive zone and fed Rob Blake, who slapped the puck off of a Ducks forward and past Jonas Hiller to give San Jose a 1-0 lead. But on their first power play attempt of the game, Anaheim evened things up, as Bobby Ryan put a shot that went behind Evgeni Nabokov. Nabokov never saw the puck, and before he realized where it was, he skated backwards and pushed it into his own net. Under 2 minutes later, Dan Boyle broke the ice on the San Jose power play. Joe Thornton fed Boyle across the crease, and Boyle shot the puck off the post, which caused it to rebound off the back of Hiller and into the net for a 2-1 San Jose lead. Again under 2 minutes later, a bad turnover on an attempted breakout by the Sharks led to a James Wisniewski slap shot that barely grazed the inside of the far post to tie the game once again 2-2.
The Sharks started things off quickly in the second period. Joe Pavelski threw the puck from the sideboards through traffic in an attempt to have the puck rebound into the net. Instead, it slid across everyone and right onto Dan Boyle's stick, who tapped the puck into a wide open net to score his second goal of the night and give San Jose their third lead of the night 3-2. But the Sharks let Anaheim right back into the game, as Pavelski tried to desperately clear the puck while he was on his back. But the puck slid to the high slot and right onto Chris Pronger's stick, who one-timed a blast to the top right corner of the net before Nabokov could get his glove out in time, and the game was tied once again 3-3.
Both teams became defensive as they settled for a relatively calm third period. But Anaheim's first penalty since late in the first period proved to be costly. Rob Blake threw a puck to the slot, and Marleau deflected it perfectly to the far side of the net, barely redirecting it past Hiller's extended leg, and scored the power play goal to give San Jose the win 4-3.
After going 0-12 on the power play in their first two home games, San Jose went 2 for 4 with the man advantage. Anaheim, who emphasized not taking too many penalties, played a very disciplined games, with some help from leniant refereeing. The first period had 26 penalty minutes handed out; the second and third period had a single two minute minor each, one to each team. San Jose outshot Anaheim 20 to 8 in the first period, but the Ducks outshot the Sharks in the last 40 minutes 22 to 15. Dan Boyle, who assisted on the game winning goal, had his first career 3 point playoff game. James Wisniewski's late first period goal was his first playoff career goal. Marleau, Thornton, Boyle, and Blake combined for 4 goals and 3 assists. San Jose Sharks sophomore skater Torrey Mitchell played in his first NHL game in game 3, as he recovered from a lingering leg injury and was informed right after the pre-game skate that he would start on the third line. The first fight between the division rivals in the postseason occured late in the third period, when George Parros took exception to a Douglas Murray hit on Teemu Selanne, and the two long-time rivals had an even brawl with nobody falling down to the ice. Anaheim still leads the series 2-1, and the next game will be Thursday night in the Honda Center.
Day 6 Round 1 NHL Playoffs 2009
Day 6 of playoff hockey in the NHL had two teams climbing back into contention and one team going absolutely no where.
Washington Capitals vs New York Rangers: Washington wins 4-0 (New York leads series 2-1)
For the first time ever, a rookie goaltender came into Madison Square Garden and shutout the home team in an NHL playoff game. That was the task Simeon Varlamov did as he seemingly solidified his starting role over Jose Theodore. Varlamov allowed 1 goal in the past 2 games, while Theodore let in 4 in the playoff home opener in Washington. The Capitals have finally found a way to utilize Ovechkin, and surprisingly it wasn't through scoring goals. The Great had 2 assists, but his most impressive play was a diving backcheck that stopped a breakaway chance for New York. Alexander Semin scored the first two goals and added a beautiful assist in the second period to Brooks Laich, and the Capitals went 2 for 6 on the power play. All things are finally rolling for the Capitals, but they are still down by a game in the series with one more game in New York to go before heading back home. Game 4 might be the deciding factor in who takes the series.
Boston Bruins vs Montreal Canadiens: Boston wins 4-2 (Boston leads series 3-0)
Another decisive win for the Bruins. Montreal scored the first goal in their first home game of the playoffs, and never took the lead after that. Surprisingly, the game was rather disciplined, as there were only a couple of offsetting roughing minors and 4 total power plays: three to Montreal and one to Boston. But even without the power play, which helped the Bruins secure wins in games 1 and 2, Boston beat Montreal in another aspect of the game: the 5 on 5. Montreal plays with a lot of heart, but sometimes it takes skill to win games, and right now Boston is outplaying Montreal in every department. Don't think the Canadiens will allow Boston to walk into their home ice in game 4 and sweep them, but this series will be over in, at most, 5 games.
Chicago Blackhawks vs Calgary Flames: Calgary wins 4-2 (Chicago leads series 2-1)
As expected of the playoff tested Flames, they took full advantage of home ice and responded to Chicago's early power play goal with 4 unanswered. Kiprusoff finally showed up to play, stopping 36 shots and taking the first star honors in game 3. The last minute of play had 64 penalty minutes issued out with 5 game misconducts. The Flames still have no answer for Jonathan Toews, and they are still getting no contribution from their top line of Jokinen, Iginla, and Borque, who combined for a goal and an assist in Calgary's 4 goal night. If this trend continues to happen, look for the Blackhawks to gather their composure (they haven't played a road playoff game in years) and steal game 4.
Here was a change in pattern: Boston and Montreal was a relatively mild-mannered game, while Chicago and Calgary had an explosion in emotions at the end. The key for Washington to win the series: take the lead early. Sean Avery was a very effective skater in games 1 and 2. Why? His team had the lead, so he was calm, didn't take stupid penalties, and actually played some good defensive hockey. In game 3, with his team down in the dumps, Avery felt the need to complain to the ref, take stupid penalties, and even punch Varlamov in the face near the end of the game. The Capitals played it well; Varlamov just took off his helmet to check if the equipment was damaged. If the Capitals get Sean Avery out of his game by taking control early, then Avery will implode and hurt his team. If they allow the Rangers to dictate the offense and score goals, it allows Avery to play within the team system and generally show why he is still considered a hockey "player".
Washington Capitals vs New York Rangers: Washington wins 4-0 (New York leads series 2-1)
For the first time ever, a rookie goaltender came into Madison Square Garden and shutout the home team in an NHL playoff game. That was the task Simeon Varlamov did as he seemingly solidified his starting role over Jose Theodore. Varlamov allowed 1 goal in the past 2 games, while Theodore let in 4 in the playoff home opener in Washington. The Capitals have finally found a way to utilize Ovechkin, and surprisingly it wasn't through scoring goals. The Great had 2 assists, but his most impressive play was a diving backcheck that stopped a breakaway chance for New York. Alexander Semin scored the first two goals and added a beautiful assist in the second period to Brooks Laich, and the Capitals went 2 for 6 on the power play. All things are finally rolling for the Capitals, but they are still down by a game in the series with one more game in New York to go before heading back home. Game 4 might be the deciding factor in who takes the series.
Boston Bruins vs Montreal Canadiens: Boston wins 4-2 (Boston leads series 3-0)
Another decisive win for the Bruins. Montreal scored the first goal in their first home game of the playoffs, and never took the lead after that. Surprisingly, the game was rather disciplined, as there were only a couple of offsetting roughing minors and 4 total power plays: three to Montreal and one to Boston. But even without the power play, which helped the Bruins secure wins in games 1 and 2, Boston beat Montreal in another aspect of the game: the 5 on 5. Montreal plays with a lot of heart, but sometimes it takes skill to win games, and right now Boston is outplaying Montreal in every department. Don't think the Canadiens will allow Boston to walk into their home ice in game 4 and sweep them, but this series will be over in, at most, 5 games.
Chicago Blackhawks vs Calgary Flames: Calgary wins 4-2 (Chicago leads series 2-1)
As expected of the playoff tested Flames, they took full advantage of home ice and responded to Chicago's early power play goal with 4 unanswered. Kiprusoff finally showed up to play, stopping 36 shots and taking the first star honors in game 3. The last minute of play had 64 penalty minutes issued out with 5 game misconducts. The Flames still have no answer for Jonathan Toews, and they are still getting no contribution from their top line of Jokinen, Iginla, and Borque, who combined for a goal and an assist in Calgary's 4 goal night. If this trend continues to happen, look for the Blackhawks to gather their composure (they haven't played a road playoff game in years) and steal game 4.
Here was a change in pattern: Boston and Montreal was a relatively mild-mannered game, while Chicago and Calgary had an explosion in emotions at the end. The key for Washington to win the series: take the lead early. Sean Avery was a very effective skater in games 1 and 2. Why? His team had the lead, so he was calm, didn't take stupid penalties, and actually played some good defensive hockey. In game 3, with his team down in the dumps, Avery felt the need to complain to the ref, take stupid penalties, and even punch Varlamov in the face near the end of the game. The Capitals played it well; Varlamov just took off his helmet to check if the equipment was damaged. If the Capitals get Sean Avery out of his game by taking control early, then Avery will implode and hurt his team. If they allow the Rangers to dictate the offense and score goals, it allows Avery to play within the team system and generally show why he is still considered a hockey "player".
Monday, April 20, 2009
Coming Down From 0-2
In the 2001-2002 Western Conference Quarterfinals, the Detroit Red Wings found themselves down 0-2 to the Vancouver Canucks. Detroit went on to win the series and the Stanley Cup.
In the 2005-2006 Eastern Conference Quarterfinals, the Carolina Hurricanes were down 0-2 to the Montreal Canadiens. The Hurricanes also eventually won the Cup that postseason.
Now, every postseason is different. The San Jose Sharks don't have the skill/experience that Detroit has to get out of any situation unscathed. And it is unlikely Brian Boucher will become the next Cam Ward (goaltending isn't even the reason why the Sharks dropped the first two games). But like those two, San Jose got off to a very slow and disappointing start to the postseason, and now what were favorable odds, even after losing game 1, suddenly become "they have to win the next 4 out of 5". And in hockey, no matter who you're facing, 4 out of 5 is a tall task. So let's take a look at what needs to be done.
Obviously, the main problem is the power play. But what is overshadowed by a lack of ability to enter the offensive zone is the fact that the Sharks are being kicked out of the offensive zone with a man advantage in the first place. And first things's first, they have to win the faceoffs. In the second period of game 2, the period where Ryane Clowe broke the ice for San Jose, the Sharks were dominating the faceoff circle, and as a result, the offensive flow of the game. Looking at the first goal of game 2, Anaheim won two of two faceoffs during their first power play and never left the zone. You can say the Sharks need to win the battles along the board or create space in the neutral zone to prevent turnovers that are stifling the offensive play before it even gets started, but it all starts with winning the faceoffs; specifically, Joe Pavelski vs Todd Marchant. You know with home ice, the Ducks are going to go to that match-up all day until Pavs finds a way to win.
But after the post-game interviews of game 2, there are two things you have to notice about the two clubs: Anaheim's response in upsetting the #1 seed (not just in the Western Conference, but the entire playoffs), and San Jose's response in being upset. One was the right approach, and one was not. Anaheim head coach Randy Carlyle said after game 1 his win was more luck than anything. After game 2, he emphasized that the Sharks were a "very, very, very good team", and the rest of his club reiterated those exact words, saying that they haven't won anything yet. And for a club that looks to be in complete control heading home for game 3, they could have not come out with a better mindset. After a 2-0 shutout of San Jose, Carlyle worked his guys in practice so hard, you'd think they had just been blown out in game 1. That is a Stanley Cup champion coach working on a very calm and experienced team.
Now, on the flip side, we see San Jose. Coach Todd McLellon comes out and says "you'd think we're the better team, but you have to give Anaheim credit." Clowe stated "we're hitting posts like no tomorrow, but that's the playoffs." They're both right, but if there is one common theme in every professional sport and their respective postseasons, it is that a key element of winning a championship is hunger. In recent memory, only the Detroit Red Wings really lacked any sort of hunger, mainly because they're so damn skilled they win enough times to supply rings for every club in the NHL. But look at the Boston Celtics last year, who had 3 NBA all-stars who had never won a championship. The Philadelphia Phillies in the World Series bringing a championship to a championship-starved city. Michael Phelps and his teammates willing Phelps to 8 gold medals in the Olympics. US Basketball, humbled several times in the Summer Games, bearing down and taking no excuses as they won the gold in dominating fashion (Dwayne Wade, injured the past two NBA seasons, proclaimed to be washed up, comes off the bench and leads the team in average scoring). They're all hungry, and they all understand when it is time to be calm, and when it is time to be desperate. McLellon and his club probably want to stay calm, and play within the system, especially since it had some pretty promising results during game 2. That is fine, but they need the extra edge that is desperation. They need to play and act like they're down by 2 games, and skate like there is no tomorrow. That same dogged determination and dirty grind work that San Jose forced out of themselves last postseason when Calgary was on the verge of upsetting them and Dallas had a 3-0 series lead, threatening to absolutely humiliate what some considered to be Stanley Cup favorites: the San Jose Sharks. Yes, as McLellon said, the way to execute would be to "play the same way, do the same things, create the same number of chances". But they need that extra ingredient in there. And if we don't see it in game 3, we won't be seeing a longer summer from the San Jose Sharks.
Dan Boyle put it perfectly: Most teams don't come down from 0-2, we have to decide if we're going to be one of those special teams that does. Like I said after the game 1 loss, this is exactly why GM Doug Wilson went out and got guys like Boyle.
In the 2005-2006 Eastern Conference Quarterfinals, the Carolina Hurricanes were down 0-2 to the Montreal Canadiens. The Hurricanes also eventually won the Cup that postseason.
Now, every postseason is different. The San Jose Sharks don't have the skill/experience that Detroit has to get out of any situation unscathed. And it is unlikely Brian Boucher will become the next Cam Ward (goaltending isn't even the reason why the Sharks dropped the first two games). But like those two, San Jose got off to a very slow and disappointing start to the postseason, and now what were favorable odds, even after losing game 1, suddenly become "they have to win the next 4 out of 5". And in hockey, no matter who you're facing, 4 out of 5 is a tall task. So let's take a look at what needs to be done.
Obviously, the main problem is the power play. But what is overshadowed by a lack of ability to enter the offensive zone is the fact that the Sharks are being kicked out of the offensive zone with a man advantage in the first place. And first things's first, they have to win the faceoffs. In the second period of game 2, the period where Ryane Clowe broke the ice for San Jose, the Sharks were dominating the faceoff circle, and as a result, the offensive flow of the game. Looking at the first goal of game 2, Anaheim won two of two faceoffs during their first power play and never left the zone. You can say the Sharks need to win the battles along the board or create space in the neutral zone to prevent turnovers that are stifling the offensive play before it even gets started, but it all starts with winning the faceoffs; specifically, Joe Pavelski vs Todd Marchant. You know with home ice, the Ducks are going to go to that match-up all day until Pavs finds a way to win.
But after the post-game interviews of game 2, there are two things you have to notice about the two clubs: Anaheim's response in upsetting the #1 seed (not just in the Western Conference, but the entire playoffs), and San Jose's response in being upset. One was the right approach, and one was not. Anaheim head coach Randy Carlyle said after game 1 his win was more luck than anything. After game 2, he emphasized that the Sharks were a "very, very, very good team", and the rest of his club reiterated those exact words, saying that they haven't won anything yet. And for a club that looks to be in complete control heading home for game 3, they could have not come out with a better mindset. After a 2-0 shutout of San Jose, Carlyle worked his guys in practice so hard, you'd think they had just been blown out in game 1. That is a Stanley Cup champion coach working on a very calm and experienced team.
Now, on the flip side, we see San Jose. Coach Todd McLellon comes out and says "you'd think we're the better team, but you have to give Anaheim credit." Clowe stated "we're hitting posts like no tomorrow, but that's the playoffs." They're both right, but if there is one common theme in every professional sport and their respective postseasons, it is that a key element of winning a championship is hunger. In recent memory, only the Detroit Red Wings really lacked any sort of hunger, mainly because they're so damn skilled they win enough times to supply rings for every club in the NHL. But look at the Boston Celtics last year, who had 3 NBA all-stars who had never won a championship. The Philadelphia Phillies in the World Series bringing a championship to a championship-starved city. Michael Phelps and his teammates willing Phelps to 8 gold medals in the Olympics. US Basketball, humbled several times in the Summer Games, bearing down and taking no excuses as they won the gold in dominating fashion (Dwayne Wade, injured the past two NBA seasons, proclaimed to be washed up, comes off the bench and leads the team in average scoring). They're all hungry, and they all understand when it is time to be calm, and when it is time to be desperate. McLellon and his club probably want to stay calm, and play within the system, especially since it had some pretty promising results during game 2. That is fine, but they need the extra edge that is desperation. They need to play and act like they're down by 2 games, and skate like there is no tomorrow. That same dogged determination and dirty grind work that San Jose forced out of themselves last postseason when Calgary was on the verge of upsetting them and Dallas had a 3-0 series lead, threatening to absolutely humiliate what some considered to be Stanley Cup favorites: the San Jose Sharks. Yes, as McLellon said, the way to execute would be to "play the same way, do the same things, create the same number of chances". But they need that extra ingredient in there. And if we don't see it in game 3, we won't be seeing a longer summer from the San Jose Sharks.
Dan Boyle put it perfectly: Most teams don't come down from 0-2, we have to decide if we're going to be one of those special teams that does. Like I said after the game 1 loss, this is exactly why GM Doug Wilson went out and got guys like Boyle.
Sunday, April 19, 2009
Day 5 Round 1 NHL Playoffs 2009
Days 4 and 5 are making me look like the worst predictor in sports history.
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Philadelphia Flyers: Philadelphia wins 6-3 (Pittsburgh leads series 2-1)
The Flyers took full advantage of home ice, and they carried all the positives of the game 2 overtime heart-breaker to a commanding defeat of the Penguins. All their top scorers came to play and Biron had timely saves to keep the momentum on the Flyers's side. The series took the nastiness level up a notch (amazingly), but both teams had strong penalty kills. The work ethic of the young guys on Philadelphia really carried them, highlighted by the shorthanded effort by Claude Giroux which led to the game winning goal. Strong forechecking by Daniel Carcillo was also noticeable, as he was back from a one game suspension he received after game 1. Most importantly, instead of being down 0-3, the Flyers are just down 1-2.
New Jersey Devils vs Carolina Hurricanes: New Jersey wins 3-2 (New Jersey leads series 2-1)
New Jersey came in and accomplished what they needed: steal a game on the road against the Hurricanes. But it wasn't easy, as Carolina finally is playing playoff hockey. Carolina also came up with a new strategy: crash Brodeur. But in the end, it was an amazing effort from two of New Jersey's top guys that made the difference in overtime. Zach Parise skated around two defenders and made a difficult pass across the zone to Travis Zajac, who shot the puck hard off Ward, got his own rebound, and roofed it for the game winning goal. Although the past two games were hard fought and the series lead is only 2-1, the Devils now have a huge advantage over the Hurricanes heading forward.
Vancouver Canucks vs St. Louis Blues: Vancouver wins 3-2 (Vancouver leads series 3-0)
The Blues came out strong and are adjusting to the pace of playoff hockey. But if a team can't score 5 on 3, then they don't deserve to win. And that is the story of the St. Louis Blues. They had a long 5 on 3 in game 1, which failed and eventually led to Vancouver's first goal of the series and game. They had TWO, count them TWO 5 on 3 opportunities that were over a minute long in game 3, and could not beat Luongo. It's nice to see St. Louis score 2 strong even strength goals, but when you go 0-5 on the power play and give up 3 power play goals to the opposition, you won't win, and that is the case with St. Louis. Unless the Blues start scoring on special teams, look for Vancouver to sweep and have a long rest as they prepare for what will likely be a tough series against Chicago.
San Jose Sharks vs Anaheim Ducks: Anaheim wins 3-2 (Anaheim leads series 2-0)
Everyone knew this series would be hard fought, but nobody expected the 8th seed Ducks to win back to back road games in the Shark Tank. Similar story for the Sharks as with the Blues: their specialty teams play is horrendous at the moment and they are being beaten by a star goaltender. Fortunately for the Sharks, Anaheim's home record is the worst out of all the teams in the playoffs. But for the most part, that is probably meaningless when you are down 0-2 in a series. Make no mistake about it, the Ducks are in complete control. Luckily for the Sharks, the deficiencies in their game are very blatant and easy to point out. Unfortunately for the Sharks, it may be too late. Jonas Hiller will probably get all the attention if the Ducks do pull off the upset, but the key role players Todd Marchant and Mike Brown deserve just as much if not all the credit, as both of them have negated the 3rd best regular season power play with faceoff wins and strong forechecking, respectively.
So with the Capitals and Sharks both down 0-2 after losing both home games, it seems that everyone BUT my (and Keith Jones's of Versus) Stanley Cup finals predictions are playing good hockey. Everyone said Boston and Montreal would be a monster match-up that would be the most intense to watch regardless of the series length, but after the first 3 games I'd argue that Philadelphia and Pittsburgh has proven to be much more intense thus far. But what is really mind-boggling (besides San Jose in a 0-2 pit) is the suspension rulings by the NHL. Daniel Carcillo elbows a Penguin in game 1 and gets a 1 game suspension. Huge fight at the end of game 2 of St. Louis and Vancouver; no suspensions. Fights throughout the Philadelphia/Pittsburgh series despite Carcillo's absence; no suspensions. Mike Cammalleri cheap-shotting Martin Havlat; no suspensions. All kinds of rough stuff from Montreal in the first two games of two Boston blowouts; no suspensions. And here we are, with the league recently announcing that Milan Lucic will be suspended for a gloved punch on Maxim Lapierre. The league's exact definition of suspensions following the Carcillo face-off incident was if players decide to "send a message", or generally play dirty and rough, when the game was already decided in terms of the score and time remaining. Now, under that definition, Lucic does deserve to be suspended since he instigated a semi-brawl with the punch. But what about everyone else?
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Philadelphia Flyers: Philadelphia wins 6-3 (Pittsburgh leads series 2-1)
The Flyers took full advantage of home ice, and they carried all the positives of the game 2 overtime heart-breaker to a commanding defeat of the Penguins. All their top scorers came to play and Biron had timely saves to keep the momentum on the Flyers's side. The series took the nastiness level up a notch (amazingly), but both teams had strong penalty kills. The work ethic of the young guys on Philadelphia really carried them, highlighted by the shorthanded effort by Claude Giroux which led to the game winning goal. Strong forechecking by Daniel Carcillo was also noticeable, as he was back from a one game suspension he received after game 1. Most importantly, instead of being down 0-3, the Flyers are just down 1-2.
New Jersey Devils vs Carolina Hurricanes: New Jersey wins 3-2 (New Jersey leads series 2-1)
New Jersey came in and accomplished what they needed: steal a game on the road against the Hurricanes. But it wasn't easy, as Carolina finally is playing playoff hockey. Carolina also came up with a new strategy: crash Brodeur. But in the end, it was an amazing effort from two of New Jersey's top guys that made the difference in overtime. Zach Parise skated around two defenders and made a difficult pass across the zone to Travis Zajac, who shot the puck hard off Ward, got his own rebound, and roofed it for the game winning goal. Although the past two games were hard fought and the series lead is only 2-1, the Devils now have a huge advantage over the Hurricanes heading forward.
Vancouver Canucks vs St. Louis Blues: Vancouver wins 3-2 (Vancouver leads series 3-0)
The Blues came out strong and are adjusting to the pace of playoff hockey. But if a team can't score 5 on 3, then they don't deserve to win. And that is the story of the St. Louis Blues. They had a long 5 on 3 in game 1, which failed and eventually led to Vancouver's first goal of the series and game. They had TWO, count them TWO 5 on 3 opportunities that were over a minute long in game 3, and could not beat Luongo. It's nice to see St. Louis score 2 strong even strength goals, but when you go 0-5 on the power play and give up 3 power play goals to the opposition, you won't win, and that is the case with St. Louis. Unless the Blues start scoring on special teams, look for Vancouver to sweep and have a long rest as they prepare for what will likely be a tough series against Chicago.
San Jose Sharks vs Anaheim Ducks: Anaheim wins 3-2 (Anaheim leads series 2-0)
Everyone knew this series would be hard fought, but nobody expected the 8th seed Ducks to win back to back road games in the Shark Tank. Similar story for the Sharks as with the Blues: their specialty teams play is horrendous at the moment and they are being beaten by a star goaltender. Fortunately for the Sharks, Anaheim's home record is the worst out of all the teams in the playoffs. But for the most part, that is probably meaningless when you are down 0-2 in a series. Make no mistake about it, the Ducks are in complete control. Luckily for the Sharks, the deficiencies in their game are very blatant and easy to point out. Unfortunately for the Sharks, it may be too late. Jonas Hiller will probably get all the attention if the Ducks do pull off the upset, but the key role players Todd Marchant and Mike Brown deserve just as much if not all the credit, as both of them have negated the 3rd best regular season power play with faceoff wins and strong forechecking, respectively.
So with the Capitals and Sharks both down 0-2 after losing both home games, it seems that everyone BUT my (and Keith Jones's of Versus) Stanley Cup finals predictions are playing good hockey. Everyone said Boston and Montreal would be a monster match-up that would be the most intense to watch regardless of the series length, but after the first 3 games I'd argue that Philadelphia and Pittsburgh has proven to be much more intense thus far. But what is really mind-boggling (besides San Jose in a 0-2 pit) is the suspension rulings by the NHL. Daniel Carcillo elbows a Penguin in game 1 and gets a 1 game suspension. Huge fight at the end of game 2 of St. Louis and Vancouver; no suspensions. Fights throughout the Philadelphia/Pittsburgh series despite Carcillo's absence; no suspensions. Mike Cammalleri cheap-shotting Martin Havlat; no suspensions. All kinds of rough stuff from Montreal in the first two games of two Boston blowouts; no suspensions. And here we are, with the league recently announcing that Milan Lucic will be suspended for a gloved punch on Maxim Lapierre. The league's exact definition of suspensions following the Carcillo face-off incident was if players decide to "send a message", or generally play dirty and rough, when the game was already decided in terms of the score and time remaining. Now, under that definition, Lucic does deserve to be suspended since he instigated a semi-brawl with the punch. But what about everyone else?
Hiller Makes 42 Saves, Ducks Take 2-0 Lead Over Sharks
It is a well known fact in any playoff series: teams that win are provided with secondary scoring, and dominate on the special teams. It also helps to have a rising star in net, as the Anaheim Ducks once again stunned the San Jose Sharks on the road, killing 6 straight penalties, getting timely goals from two young third-liners, and their rookie goaltender Jonas Hiller stopped 42 of 44 shots to help the Ducks defeat the Sharks 3-2, taking a 2-0 series lead before sending it to Anaheim for Game 3.
After a slow, defensive game 1 that didn't have much intensity to it after the first period, both teams came out explosively, registering a combined 29 shots on goal with the Sharks holding the 1 shot edge. But it was Anaheim who put one in the net, as Bobby Ryan found a loose puck that creeped behind Evgeni Nabokov and slapped it home before Nabokov could seal it off with his stick, and the Ducks took the 1-0 lead early in the first period.
But in the second period, the Sharks completely dominated play, only allowing one sustained cycle in their defensive zone at the end. And they solved the puzzle Jonas Hiller and broke out of their franchise longest playoff scoreless drought, as Ryane Clowe intercepted an attempted breakout pass in the Anaheim zone, and slid a puck underneath Hiller's pad through a screen to tie the game 1-1.
The third period opened up once again for both teams, but again it was Anaheim that was the beneficiary. A shot from point blank from Erik Christansen rebounded wildly all the way to the other side of the net, and before Nabokov could position himself for the rebound, Andrew Ebbett scored his first career playoff goal to break the tie 2-1. Then just 4 minutes later, a cycle between the Niedermayer brothers led to a rebound in front of Nabokov that Drew Miller stuffed underneath the pads to give Anaheim a commanding 2 goal lead with under 7 minutes left in the third. But Jonathan Cheechoo put the Sharks right back in the game, outmuscling two Anaheim defenders before skating right in on Hiller and roofing the puck top shelf, reducing the deficit to 2-3 under 40 seconds after Miller's goal. But Anaheim plugged up the neutral zone, and in the final minute cycled the puck in San Jose's zone, and the Sharks were not able to put up a good scoring chance in the final five minutes of the game and the Ducks took a commanding 2-0 series lead on the road.
The story of the game was once again special teams and faceoffs for the Sharks. Ryan's opening goal was scored on the power play on Anaheim's first of two chances in the game. The Sharks then received 6 straight power plays, but failed to capitalize on any of them, although there were more chances than in game 1, but credit goes to Mike Brown, who absolutely stifled any attempt by the Sharks to enter the offensive zone. Drew Miller's game winning goal was set up by a faceoff win from Todd Marchant, who has been dominating the faceoff circle this entire series. Jonas Hiller took the first star award for the second time in as many games in the series, stopping 77 of 79 shots through the first two games. Anaheim now go back home for games 3 and 4, where they have a chance to sweep the first-seeded Sharks on home ice, although they were only 20-18-3 at home, the worst home record out of all the playoff teams. Game 3 will be Tuesday night.
Day 4 Round 1 NHL Playoffs 2009
Day 4 had every winning team taking what seems to be a commanding lead in the series.
Washington Capitals vs New York Rangers: New York wins 1-0 (2-0 series lead)
Suddenly the Rangers look like the powerhouse they were last year. Lundqvist shut out Ovechkin, and the Rangers held on to an early first period goal, killed off the league's 2nd best power play several times in the third period, and took a 2-0 lead before the series transitions to New York.
The biggest story was Washington inserting rookie Varlamov instead of Theodore at net. Either the Caps have lost faith in their goalie (not surprising after Thursday's effort), or they wanted to send a message to their team. Either way, it improved their defense dramatically. Varlamov did well for his playoff debut. He didn't allow any rebounds, and smothered the puck every chance he got. At the same time, it slowed the pace of the game down, which was perfect for the Rangers. There were several instances where he could've dropped the puck off to his defenseman, but instead elected to hold on to have the faceoff in his zone, a huge disadvantage for a team trying to come from a 1 goal deficit. Either way, the Rangers are in prime position to upset, and if Washington is going to win it'll probably take a 7 game series effort.
Boston Bruins vs Montreal Canadiens: Boston wins 5-1 (2-0 series lead)
The Boston came out in the exact same fashion in game 1, and this time held on to their 2 goal lead. The Canadiens wanted to up the ante with physical play, but instead it left their young goaltender Carey Price all alone to take on the strong offense of the Bruins. Montreal has no answers for any aspect of the Bruins game, and although it is likely that they can steal a win at home, Boston looks like they'll be the first team to sweep.
Detroit Red Wings vs Columbus Blue Jackets: Detroit wins 4-0 (2-0 series lead)
It looks like Rick Nash's franchise's first playoff appearance will be very short. Chris Osgood has solidified his claim that he has the ability to carry his team in the playoffs, and the Blue Jackets cannot stop the high-powered Red Wing offense. The Red Wings can score with any line in any situation, and they controled the offensive flow of the game the entire game. It is doubtful that home ice will save the Blue Jackets from further humiliation.
Chicago Blackhawks vs Calgary Flames: Chicago wins 3-2 (2-0 series lead)
In similar fashion to Game 1, Chicago came back from a deficit to win 3-2. Calgary had a 2-0 lead at the end of the first after a dominating period. Then, the first ilne of Chicago woke up. The Flames had no answer for Toews, Kane, and Sharp, while the heralded Jokinen was once again rendered useless by the Chicago defense. Kiprusoff is having problems smothering pucks, dropping juicy rebounds in front of Chicago forwards. It looks like the Blackhawk strategy of crashing the net is working effectively, and if the Flames can't rely on Kiprusoff, who can they turn to?
The physical game is picking up throughout the playoffs, but it is having mixed effects on the outcome of the game. Montreal's strategy seemed to simply motivate Boston to play harder and Columbus took a boatload of penalties as a result of their rough play. Yet Washington/New York and Chicago/Calgary had plenty of hits and cross-checks, and it didn't really change anything for either team. The key players underachieving through 2 games: Olli Jokinen of the Flames and Alexander Ovechkin of the Capitals. If they wake up, their respective teams can easily climb back into the series. If they continue to be smothered by defenses, their teams are likely to be swept. I'd include Rick Nash, but if you're being double-teamed all day (with one of the guys named Nicklas Lidstrom), you're probably not going to have a very good day on the score sheet.
Washington Capitals vs New York Rangers: New York wins 1-0 (2-0 series lead)
Suddenly the Rangers look like the powerhouse they were last year. Lundqvist shut out Ovechkin, and the Rangers held on to an early first period goal, killed off the league's 2nd best power play several times in the third period, and took a 2-0 lead before the series transitions to New York.
The biggest story was Washington inserting rookie Varlamov instead of Theodore at net. Either the Caps have lost faith in their goalie (not surprising after Thursday's effort), or they wanted to send a message to their team. Either way, it improved their defense dramatically. Varlamov did well for his playoff debut. He didn't allow any rebounds, and smothered the puck every chance he got. At the same time, it slowed the pace of the game down, which was perfect for the Rangers. There were several instances where he could've dropped the puck off to his defenseman, but instead elected to hold on to have the faceoff in his zone, a huge disadvantage for a team trying to come from a 1 goal deficit. Either way, the Rangers are in prime position to upset, and if Washington is going to win it'll probably take a 7 game series effort.
Boston Bruins vs Montreal Canadiens: Boston wins 5-1 (2-0 series lead)
The Boston came out in the exact same fashion in game 1, and this time held on to their 2 goal lead. The Canadiens wanted to up the ante with physical play, but instead it left their young goaltender Carey Price all alone to take on the strong offense of the Bruins. Montreal has no answers for any aspect of the Bruins game, and although it is likely that they can steal a win at home, Boston looks like they'll be the first team to sweep.
Detroit Red Wings vs Columbus Blue Jackets: Detroit wins 4-0 (2-0 series lead)
It looks like Rick Nash's franchise's first playoff appearance will be very short. Chris Osgood has solidified his claim that he has the ability to carry his team in the playoffs, and the Blue Jackets cannot stop the high-powered Red Wing offense. The Red Wings can score with any line in any situation, and they controled the offensive flow of the game the entire game. It is doubtful that home ice will save the Blue Jackets from further humiliation.
Chicago Blackhawks vs Calgary Flames: Chicago wins 3-2 (2-0 series lead)
In similar fashion to Game 1, Chicago came back from a deficit to win 3-2. Calgary had a 2-0 lead at the end of the first after a dominating period. Then, the first ilne of Chicago woke up. The Flames had no answer for Toews, Kane, and Sharp, while the heralded Jokinen was once again rendered useless by the Chicago defense. Kiprusoff is having problems smothering pucks, dropping juicy rebounds in front of Chicago forwards. It looks like the Blackhawk strategy of crashing the net is working effectively, and if the Flames can't rely on Kiprusoff, who can they turn to?
The physical game is picking up throughout the playoffs, but it is having mixed effects on the outcome of the game. Montreal's strategy seemed to simply motivate Boston to play harder and Columbus took a boatload of penalties as a result of their rough play. Yet Washington/New York and Chicago/Calgary had plenty of hits and cross-checks, and it didn't really change anything for either team. The key players underachieving through 2 games: Olli Jokinen of the Flames and Alexander Ovechkin of the Capitals. If they wake up, their respective teams can easily climb back into the series. If they continue to be smothered by defenses, their teams are likely to be swept. I'd include Rick Nash, but if you're being double-teamed all day (with one of the guys named Nicklas Lidstrom), you're probably not going to have a very good day on the score sheet.
Friday, April 17, 2009
Day 3 Round 1 NHL Playoffs 2009
3 different Game 2's were played and here's what has come up from them:
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Philadelphia Flyers: Pittsburgh wins 3-2 (2-0 series lead)
The Flyers finally started playing disciplined hockey, and it almost worked for them. A missed Scott Hartnell call was cancelled out by a late third period power play goal, and two really really bad penalties by Philadelphia had them going from a power play to a shorthanded 5 on 3 in overtime, which resulted in Guerin stuffing a puck past Biron on the short side to win the game.
The Flyers could've taken over the series by tying it 1-1 and winning in overtime before sending it to their home ice, but they shot themselves in the foot with two penalties that should have never been taken, and a shot that should have never gotten past Biron. But credit Marc-Andre Fleury, who made about 5 highlight reel saves in the third period and overtime to set up the opportunity for his team. Philadelphia has a lot of positives to take away from the game however, so if they can channel that into games 3 and 4, we could be looking at a new series midway through next week.
New Jersey Devils vs Carolina Hurricanes: Carolina wins 2-1 (1-1 series tie)
Carolina finally realized that it was the postseason, and a stronger work ethic in all three zones and some timely saves by Cam Ward led to a thrilling overtime winner for the Canes. Martin Brodeur has showed up to play, which is good news for New Jersey, who didn't really allow Carolina to test him in game 1. But New Jersey, who used to rely on Brodeur and their defense, have a new predicament: they can only go as far as their offense. The past couple of months has seen inconsistancies in the offense of the Devils, and the Hurricanes are at the receiving end of it now. With the series tied and Carolina taking it back home, the Devils have their work cut out for them. The good news for New Jersey is that they probably only need to win 1 of the next 2 games in Carolina to have the advantage in game 6.
Vancouver Canucks vs St. Louis Blues: Vancouver wins 3-0 (2-0 series lead)
Luongo is unstoppable, and he is exploiting the fact that the Blues have no offensive depth. But what is making Vancouver seem like a very scary team in the Western Conference is the fact that their offense is finally clicking in the postseason, something that has not happened in the past. Coming into this postseason, Luongo had a losing record after one career postseason appearance, despite putting up a better than .940 save percentage. But Mats Sundin scored the game winner, and the Sedin twins put up two points each: Daniel with 2 assists and Henrik with a goal and an assist (granted the goal was an empty netter). Vancouver looks like they should wrap this series up in 5, but there's a catch: B.J. Crombeen sent a message at the end of the game with a roughing double minor, which was the centerpiece of an end-game brawl. Can St. Louis take that energy (and avoid suspension) to their home ice? Or will Vancouver continue to stifle their offense?
Penalty kills are dominating the postseason so far, but game-changers have been on the uncommon power play goals. The 2-0 series lead in Pittsburgh/Philadelphia is misleading: Philadelphia played a near-perfect game until the final two minutes. The intensity is picking up in the New Jersey/Carolina series, and this might become a series where both teams beat each other up so much in a low-scoring grind match that it won't matter who advances. If Vancouver can get past Detroit/San Jose (or if they never have to face them), look for them to be favorites in the Stanley Cup finals regardless of who comes out of the East.
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Philadelphia Flyers: Pittsburgh wins 3-2 (2-0 series lead)
The Flyers finally started playing disciplined hockey, and it almost worked for them. A missed Scott Hartnell call was cancelled out by a late third period power play goal, and two really really bad penalties by Philadelphia had them going from a power play to a shorthanded 5 on 3 in overtime, which resulted in Guerin stuffing a puck past Biron on the short side to win the game.
The Flyers could've taken over the series by tying it 1-1 and winning in overtime before sending it to their home ice, but they shot themselves in the foot with two penalties that should have never been taken, and a shot that should have never gotten past Biron. But credit Marc-Andre Fleury, who made about 5 highlight reel saves in the third period and overtime to set up the opportunity for his team. Philadelphia has a lot of positives to take away from the game however, so if they can channel that into games 3 and 4, we could be looking at a new series midway through next week.
New Jersey Devils vs Carolina Hurricanes: Carolina wins 2-1 (1-1 series tie)
Carolina finally realized that it was the postseason, and a stronger work ethic in all three zones and some timely saves by Cam Ward led to a thrilling overtime winner for the Canes. Martin Brodeur has showed up to play, which is good news for New Jersey, who didn't really allow Carolina to test him in game 1. But New Jersey, who used to rely on Brodeur and their defense, have a new predicament: they can only go as far as their offense. The past couple of months has seen inconsistancies in the offense of the Devils, and the Hurricanes are at the receiving end of it now. With the series tied and Carolina taking it back home, the Devils have their work cut out for them. The good news for New Jersey is that they probably only need to win 1 of the next 2 games in Carolina to have the advantage in game 6.
Vancouver Canucks vs St. Louis Blues: Vancouver wins 3-0 (2-0 series lead)
Luongo is unstoppable, and he is exploiting the fact that the Blues have no offensive depth. But what is making Vancouver seem like a very scary team in the Western Conference is the fact that their offense is finally clicking in the postseason, something that has not happened in the past. Coming into this postseason, Luongo had a losing record after one career postseason appearance, despite putting up a better than .940 save percentage. But Mats Sundin scored the game winner, and the Sedin twins put up two points each: Daniel with 2 assists and Henrik with a goal and an assist (granted the goal was an empty netter). Vancouver looks like they should wrap this series up in 5, but there's a catch: B.J. Crombeen sent a message at the end of the game with a roughing double minor, which was the centerpiece of an end-game brawl. Can St. Louis take that energy (and avoid suspension) to their home ice? Or will Vancouver continue to stifle their offense?
Penalty kills are dominating the postseason so far, but game-changers have been on the uncommon power play goals. The 2-0 series lead in Pittsburgh/Philadelphia is misleading: Philadelphia played a near-perfect game until the final two minutes. The intensity is picking up in the New Jersey/Carolina series, and this might become a series where both teams beat each other up so much in a low-scoring grind match that it won't matter who advances. If Vancouver can get past Detroit/San Jose (or if they never have to face them), look for them to be favorites in the Stanley Cup finals regardless of who comes out of the East.
Thursday, April 16, 2009
NBA 2009 Playoffs First Round Predictions
Eastern Conference:
(1) Cleveland Cavaliers vs (8) Detroit Pistons:
The Pistons once again make the playoffs, except this time there is absolutely no chance they're making it to the Conference finals. They have been playing horribly, they lost their point guard Chauncey Billups for Allen Iverson, who has made minimal to no impact on the struggling club. Cleveland, on the other hand, has been playing dominant basketball throughout the entire season, and secondary/bench scoring has taken loads of pressure off Lebron James, who spends most of his fourth quarters these days warming the bench. There is no reason why the Cavs should even lose one game. Cleveland wins in 4.
(2) Boston Celtics vs (7) Chicago Bulls:
The one good news for the Bulls is that the Celtics have been struggling for the past couple of months. Kevin Garnett is rumored to be out for the rest of the playoffs. Ray Allen and Paul Pierce just aren't as explosive as they were last year, and their bench has diminished without James Posey. Chicago has the young talent and skill to take out Boston, but Boston has the experience to get out of any funk. And let's be honest, the Celtics have no defense and no offense without KG, their best two-way player. Chicago wins in 7.
(3) Orlando Magic vs (6) Philadelphia 76ers:
The 76ers are the dark horses of the Eastern Conference, and have the best chance of all the lower seeds to make it to the finals. That said, the chance still isn't very high. They've had a breakout year from all 5 of their starters, especially Dalembert. But they have 0, and I mean 0 support from their bench. Dalembert can't be expected to play all day against Dwight Howard, and that will ultimately lead to the 76er's downfall. Magic wins in 6.
(5) Miami Heat vs (4) Atlanta Hawks:
This is the monster match-up of the East. Dwayne Wade has single-handedly put his team into the 5th seed, and in my mind is the top candidate for MVP this season. The big adjustment the coaching staff of Miami has made was that the game now revolves around everything Wade does, both defensively and offensively. This opens up a lot more opportunities for the young skill guys like Moon and Beasley. The big key for an upset would be Wade's ability to knock down the 3, the biggest improvement in his game since winning the championship in 2006. The Hawks are going to double and maybe even triple team him all day to take away his ability to drive the lane, so if he can knock down the outside jumpers, he can easily take over the series. But the Hawks have always been a strong home playoff team, and that will ultimately boost their more offensively balanced team over the hump. Atlanta wins in 7.
Western Conference:
(1) Los Angeles Lakers vs (8) Utah Jazz:
The Jazz are the deadliest 8th seed in recent memory of the NBA playoffs, entering the postseason with a 48-34. But the Lakers have the most depth in their bench, and have all their starters well rested as they clinched the conference about a month ago. Utah is the most dominant home team in the NBA, so look for the Lakers to take full advantage of playing in LA in order to steal an away game via momentum. And the Jazz have absolutely no answer for Bynum at center. Los Angeles wins in 5.
(2) Denver Nuggest vs (7) New Orlean Hornets:
The Nuggets have been playing absolutely ridiculous basketball since the New Year's, which propelled the once struggling team into second place in the toughest conference in the NBA. Everyone from the 2008 Olympic Team has elevated their play from the experience, and Carmelo Anthony is no exception. His ability to score, which has disappeared in past playoffs, will be needed to take on a tough Hornets team, who are inexplicibly the 7th seed. If the Hornets want to upset, they need to take full advantage of their home games and Tyson Chandler needs to play like he's healthy again. Without Chandler, Chris Paul's abilities to create offensively become limited, and the Hornets then lose virtually their entire defense. The key match-up will be Chandler/West against Nene Hilario. X-factor: James Posey. He didn't have too big of a regular season, but he is never signed by a team for his regular season play. New Orleans wins in 7.
(3) San Antonio Spurs vs (6) Dallas Mavericks:
The Mavericks have rarely lost since February, and it has all centered around the play of Dirk Nowitzki. However, Nowitzki has always been a solid performer in the regular season; it is his chokes in the playoffs that have drawn huge criticism from the sports media. And is chance to redeem himself will be against one of the coolest playoff performers in Tim Duncan. And you have to like the Tony Parker match-up against Jason Kidd. Both these teams are built almost identically from top to bottom, but the Spurs have the edge in terms of skill in every positional match-up. The biggest issue will be the loss of Manu Ginobli. If the Mavericks can exploit the loss of Ginobli and shut down the Spurs defensively, they can pull off the upset. San Antonio wins in 6.
(4) Portland Trailblazers vs (5) Houston Rockets:
For some reason, the Rockets have been playing better basketball since the loss of Tracy McGrady. Maybe they're used to playing without him this time of the year, and they actually have Ron Artest to cover his hole. But you have to question the trade of Rafer Alston to Orlando, which has seriously crippled the club's offensive depth. Yao Ming should easily dominate Aldridge and Pryzbilla, who have a bad history against bigger centermen. But the match-up will be Brandon Roy against Ron Artest. And don't forget Artest has a bad discipline history as well. Ultimately, Rudy Fernandez's ability to provide energy and points off the bench will have the Rockets leaving the playoffs early and the fans wanting big changes in the off-season. Portland wins in 6.
(1) Cleveland Cavaliers vs (8) Detroit Pistons:
The Pistons once again make the playoffs, except this time there is absolutely no chance they're making it to the Conference finals. They have been playing horribly, they lost their point guard Chauncey Billups for Allen Iverson, who has made minimal to no impact on the struggling club. Cleveland, on the other hand, has been playing dominant basketball throughout the entire season, and secondary/bench scoring has taken loads of pressure off Lebron James, who spends most of his fourth quarters these days warming the bench. There is no reason why the Cavs should even lose one game. Cleveland wins in 4.
(2) Boston Celtics vs (7) Chicago Bulls:
The one good news for the Bulls is that the Celtics have been struggling for the past couple of months. Kevin Garnett is rumored to be out for the rest of the playoffs. Ray Allen and Paul Pierce just aren't as explosive as they were last year, and their bench has diminished without James Posey. Chicago has the young talent and skill to take out Boston, but Boston has the experience to get out of any funk. And let's be honest, the Celtics have no defense and no offense without KG, their best two-way player. Chicago wins in 7.
(3) Orlando Magic vs (6) Philadelphia 76ers:
The 76ers are the dark horses of the Eastern Conference, and have the best chance of all the lower seeds to make it to the finals. That said, the chance still isn't very high. They've had a breakout year from all 5 of their starters, especially Dalembert. But they have 0, and I mean 0 support from their bench. Dalembert can't be expected to play all day against Dwight Howard, and that will ultimately lead to the 76er's downfall. Magic wins in 6.
(5) Miami Heat vs (4) Atlanta Hawks:
This is the monster match-up of the East. Dwayne Wade has single-handedly put his team into the 5th seed, and in my mind is the top candidate for MVP this season. The big adjustment the coaching staff of Miami has made was that the game now revolves around everything Wade does, both defensively and offensively. This opens up a lot more opportunities for the young skill guys like Moon and Beasley. The big key for an upset would be Wade's ability to knock down the 3, the biggest improvement in his game since winning the championship in 2006. The Hawks are going to double and maybe even triple team him all day to take away his ability to drive the lane, so if he can knock down the outside jumpers, he can easily take over the series. But the Hawks have always been a strong home playoff team, and that will ultimately boost their more offensively balanced team over the hump. Atlanta wins in 7.
Western Conference:
(1) Los Angeles Lakers vs (8) Utah Jazz:
The Jazz are the deadliest 8th seed in recent memory of the NBA playoffs, entering the postseason with a 48-34. But the Lakers have the most depth in their bench, and have all their starters well rested as they clinched the conference about a month ago. Utah is the most dominant home team in the NBA, so look for the Lakers to take full advantage of playing in LA in order to steal an away game via momentum. And the Jazz have absolutely no answer for Bynum at center. Los Angeles wins in 5.
(2) Denver Nuggest vs (7) New Orlean Hornets:
The Nuggets have been playing absolutely ridiculous basketball since the New Year's, which propelled the once struggling team into second place in the toughest conference in the NBA. Everyone from the 2008 Olympic Team has elevated their play from the experience, and Carmelo Anthony is no exception. His ability to score, which has disappeared in past playoffs, will be needed to take on a tough Hornets team, who are inexplicibly the 7th seed. If the Hornets want to upset, they need to take full advantage of their home games and Tyson Chandler needs to play like he's healthy again. Without Chandler, Chris Paul's abilities to create offensively become limited, and the Hornets then lose virtually their entire defense. The key match-up will be Chandler/West against Nene Hilario. X-factor: James Posey. He didn't have too big of a regular season, but he is never signed by a team for his regular season play. New Orleans wins in 7.
(3) San Antonio Spurs vs (6) Dallas Mavericks:
The Mavericks have rarely lost since February, and it has all centered around the play of Dirk Nowitzki. However, Nowitzki has always been a solid performer in the regular season; it is his chokes in the playoffs that have drawn huge criticism from the sports media. And is chance to redeem himself will be against one of the coolest playoff performers in Tim Duncan. And you have to like the Tony Parker match-up against Jason Kidd. Both these teams are built almost identically from top to bottom, but the Spurs have the edge in terms of skill in every positional match-up. The biggest issue will be the loss of Manu Ginobli. If the Mavericks can exploit the loss of Ginobli and shut down the Spurs defensively, they can pull off the upset. San Antonio wins in 6.
(4) Portland Trailblazers vs (5) Houston Rockets:
For some reason, the Rockets have been playing better basketball since the loss of Tracy McGrady. Maybe they're used to playing without him this time of the year, and they actually have Ron Artest to cover his hole. But you have to question the trade of Rafer Alston to Orlando, which has seriously crippled the club's offensive depth. Yao Ming should easily dominate Aldridge and Pryzbilla, who have a bad history against bigger centermen. But the match-up will be Brandon Roy against Ron Artest. And don't forget Artest has a bad discipline history as well. Ultimately, Rudy Fernandez's ability to provide energy and points off the bench will have the Rockets leaving the playoffs early and the fans wanting big changes in the off-season. Portland wins in 6.
Day 2 Round 1 NHL Playoffs 2009
Things I noticed as the final 4 match-ups played their first games of the playoffs:
San Jose Sharks vs Anaheim Ducks: Anaheim won 2-0 (1-0 series lead)
The big California match-up ended in a huge upset that negated home ice advantage for San Jose, as Hiller made 35 saves and the defense of the Ducks completely shut down the offense of the Sharks. Sharks were 0-6 on the power play. Ducks were 1-4 and scored right after they killed off their 6th penalty. Nabokov's 5 hole was exploited, and he's had trouble with it all season long. The one good thing the Sharks did was shutdown the first line of Getzlaf, Perry, and Ryan throughout the game. Getzlaf ended with a goal and assist, but it wasn't in dominating fashion by the first line as most teams saw at the end of the season from the Ducks.
Weird thing was the game lost the feel of the playoffs after the first period. I guess two scoreless periods will do that to a game, but both San Jose and Anaheim kind of settled in and laid back instead of play with vigor and intensity that other teams had in their first game of the playoffs. There was a plethora of hits, but nothing too crazy.
Chicago Blackhawks vs Calgary Flames: Chicago won 3-2 (1-0 series lead)
The first overtime game of the playoffs, yet it wasn't too big of a deal as the Flames turned it over 6 seconds in and Chicago scored 12 seconds in to win the game 3-2. Chicago never had a lead in the game until they won it, but they had one specific tactic: crash the net and make Kiprusoff uncomfortable. Similar to the Blues on Luongo (they just snow-showered him) and the Blue Jackets on Osgood (but it led to penalties, more on this later), and unlike the other two, the strategy worked for the Hawks. Great work by the Blackhawk defense in shutting down Iginla, Borque, and Jokinen. Both goaltenders were great and the game was pretty even. We'll see if Chicago can use this OT win momentum to dominate game 2, or if it'll be another close match-up. I'm still calling a game 7.
Boston Bruins vs Montreal Canadiens: Boston won 4-2 (1-0 series lead)
The Canadiens were the big surprise, even in losing. They were down 2-0 and Boston seemed to be rolling over them, then they had two huge goals off great passes from the high slot. Yet, the Canadiens were the least graceful losers so far in all the Game 1's, as they jumped Phil Kessel after he scored the empty-net goal with 13 seconds left, and they started all sorts of fights at the end of the game as the horn blew. Daniel Carcillo of the Flyers was suspended 1 game after a pretty mild shot to the head at the end of the Flyers/Penguins game, so look for tons of suspensions to be handed out, especially to Montreal. The Canadiens played a very solid game, but if they have a couple of guys suspended, Boston should take over the series easily in Game 2.
Detroit Red Wings vs Columbus Blue Jackets: Detroit won 4-1 (1-0 series lead)
The score did not justify the game, as the Blue Jackets were playing very well for their first ever playoff game. Detroit went up 1-0 in the second and under a minute later Umberger tied it for the Blue Jackets. The shots were mostly even, both Osgood and Mason were terrific, and the game was very physical. Then Detroit scored their second goal to take a 2-1 lead, and the butterflies were exposed for the Jackets. They started turning the puck over, taking stupid penalties, and panicking in all sorts of ways, which led to the next 3 Detroit goals, 2 of which were deflections off Columbus defensemen trying too hard to block point shots. Steve Mason was the coolest head of the bunch, and he'd probably appreciate it if his D-men calmed down as well. The Blue Jackets had one plan in mind: crash the net. But that also drew two goalie interference penalties, and what looks to be a pretty smart idea may now change the entire complexion of the game for Columbus.
Osgood was HUGE in the game, and suddenly all questions about his ability to perform after his GAA went up an entire point this season since the last were erased. Osgood explained it convincingly, saying he was trying too hard to recreate what he did last postseason and it threw him off his comfort zone. If Osgood plays like this continuously, Detroit is suddenly the favorite to come out of the West.
Again, another day of very undisciplined hockey for Game 1. Calgary and Chicago kept the penalties to a minimum, but that was probably in part due to the leniancy of the refs in that game. They had a combined 5 power plays between them, with Chicago getting 3 chances with the man advantage to Calgary's 2. My Stanley Cup final predictions Washington and San Jose were both the only upsets in the first round. Either I know nothing about hockey or they like playing from behind. Before San Jose fans go into a panic, there are two things they need to realize. First, it's only game 1. A convincing game 2 win could go a long way as the series transitions to Anaheim in terms of momentum shift, but if the Sharks lose or they barely win, then it might be time to start pushing the panic button. But secondly, all the Stanley Cup experience roster changes that GM Doug Wilson made were made specifically for this situation. No, it wasn't so the Sharks can roll over everyone in the postseason. There is rarely a sweep for a Stanley Cup champion, so these guys were brought in for the leadership they can provide in the times when the Sharks lose, like tonight. If there is any ounce of fear in the San Jose locker room, which there shouldn't be in the first place, look for guys like Blake, Lukowich, Boyle, Coach McLellon, Moen, and Claude Lemieux, who didn't play in the game as his role during these playoffs will probably be that of a third assistant coach in the locker room, to calm their team down and get them reorganized for the next game. It's only been the first two days of the playoffs, and one can hardly pin a sure winner after just one game's worth of action. Go Sharks!
San Jose Sharks vs Anaheim Ducks: Anaheim won 2-0 (1-0 series lead)
The big California match-up ended in a huge upset that negated home ice advantage for San Jose, as Hiller made 35 saves and the defense of the Ducks completely shut down the offense of the Sharks. Sharks were 0-6 on the power play. Ducks were 1-4 and scored right after they killed off their 6th penalty. Nabokov's 5 hole was exploited, and he's had trouble with it all season long. The one good thing the Sharks did was shutdown the first line of Getzlaf, Perry, and Ryan throughout the game. Getzlaf ended with a goal and assist, but it wasn't in dominating fashion by the first line as most teams saw at the end of the season from the Ducks.
Weird thing was the game lost the feel of the playoffs after the first period. I guess two scoreless periods will do that to a game, but both San Jose and Anaheim kind of settled in and laid back instead of play with vigor and intensity that other teams had in their first game of the playoffs. There was a plethora of hits, but nothing too crazy.
Chicago Blackhawks vs Calgary Flames: Chicago won 3-2 (1-0 series lead)
The first overtime game of the playoffs, yet it wasn't too big of a deal as the Flames turned it over 6 seconds in and Chicago scored 12 seconds in to win the game 3-2. Chicago never had a lead in the game until they won it, but they had one specific tactic: crash the net and make Kiprusoff uncomfortable. Similar to the Blues on Luongo (they just snow-showered him) and the Blue Jackets on Osgood (but it led to penalties, more on this later), and unlike the other two, the strategy worked for the Hawks. Great work by the Blackhawk defense in shutting down Iginla, Borque, and Jokinen. Both goaltenders were great and the game was pretty even. We'll see if Chicago can use this OT win momentum to dominate game 2, or if it'll be another close match-up. I'm still calling a game 7.
Boston Bruins vs Montreal Canadiens: Boston won 4-2 (1-0 series lead)
The Canadiens were the big surprise, even in losing. They were down 2-0 and Boston seemed to be rolling over them, then they had two huge goals off great passes from the high slot. Yet, the Canadiens were the least graceful losers so far in all the Game 1's, as they jumped Phil Kessel after he scored the empty-net goal with 13 seconds left, and they started all sorts of fights at the end of the game as the horn blew. Daniel Carcillo of the Flyers was suspended 1 game after a pretty mild shot to the head at the end of the Flyers/Penguins game, so look for tons of suspensions to be handed out, especially to Montreal. The Canadiens played a very solid game, but if they have a couple of guys suspended, Boston should take over the series easily in Game 2.
Detroit Red Wings vs Columbus Blue Jackets: Detroit won 4-1 (1-0 series lead)
The score did not justify the game, as the Blue Jackets were playing very well for their first ever playoff game. Detroit went up 1-0 in the second and under a minute later Umberger tied it for the Blue Jackets. The shots were mostly even, both Osgood and Mason were terrific, and the game was very physical. Then Detroit scored their second goal to take a 2-1 lead, and the butterflies were exposed for the Jackets. They started turning the puck over, taking stupid penalties, and panicking in all sorts of ways, which led to the next 3 Detroit goals, 2 of which were deflections off Columbus defensemen trying too hard to block point shots. Steve Mason was the coolest head of the bunch, and he'd probably appreciate it if his D-men calmed down as well. The Blue Jackets had one plan in mind: crash the net. But that also drew two goalie interference penalties, and what looks to be a pretty smart idea may now change the entire complexion of the game for Columbus.
Osgood was HUGE in the game, and suddenly all questions about his ability to perform after his GAA went up an entire point this season since the last were erased. Osgood explained it convincingly, saying he was trying too hard to recreate what he did last postseason and it threw him off his comfort zone. If Osgood plays like this continuously, Detroit is suddenly the favorite to come out of the West.
Again, another day of very undisciplined hockey for Game 1. Calgary and Chicago kept the penalties to a minimum, but that was probably in part due to the leniancy of the refs in that game. They had a combined 5 power plays between them, with Chicago getting 3 chances with the man advantage to Calgary's 2. My Stanley Cup final predictions Washington and San Jose were both the only upsets in the first round. Either I know nothing about hockey or they like playing from behind. Before San Jose fans go into a panic, there are two things they need to realize. First, it's only game 1. A convincing game 2 win could go a long way as the series transitions to Anaheim in terms of momentum shift, but if the Sharks lose or they barely win, then it might be time to start pushing the panic button. But secondly, all the Stanley Cup experience roster changes that GM Doug Wilson made were made specifically for this situation. No, it wasn't so the Sharks can roll over everyone in the postseason. There is rarely a sweep for a Stanley Cup champion, so these guys were brought in for the leadership they can provide in the times when the Sharks lose, like tonight. If there is any ounce of fear in the San Jose locker room, which there shouldn't be in the first place, look for guys like Blake, Lukowich, Boyle, Coach McLellon, Moen, and Claude Lemieux, who didn't play in the game as his role during these playoffs will probably be that of a third assistant coach in the locker room, to calm their team down and get them reorganized for the next game. It's only been the first two days of the playoffs, and one can hardly pin a sure winner after just one game's worth of action. Go Sharks!
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